Sport Picks
Match Events
25'
25'
Camano J.
25'
25'
Reynaga R.
46'
46'
Sub
Luna R. In: Abruzzese M.
Out: Luna R.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Nacional game between Midland and Patronato finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Midland.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
30%
28%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Midland
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Midland carry the better recent record into this one.
- Midland are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Midland Clean Sheet 68%
Patronato Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Midland | Patronato |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 15 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Primera Nacional
Midland vs Patronato
1:0
Jun 21, 2026 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Midland
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Midland Compare
Top Goalscorer Diaz Laharque L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Patronato Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Midland 51 / 100
Patronato 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Midland Patronato
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Midland's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Patronato let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.
Midland went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Midland VS Patronato
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Midland
(Home) 20 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 2 Midland
13 Sept
Midland
1 : 0 Chacarita Juniors
06 Sept
San Martin S.J.
3 : 2 Midland
02 Sept
Colegiales
3 : 0 Midland
29 Aug
Midland
2 : 0 Nueva Chicago
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Midland
1 : 0 Chacarita Juniors
29 Aug
Midland
2 : 0 Nueva Chicago
07 Aug
Midland
2 : 0 Deportivo Maipu
26 Jul
Midland
1 : 0 Patronato
12 Jul
Midland
1 : 0 Quilmes
Page 1 of 3
Patronato
(Away) 21 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1 Patronato
13 Sept
Patronato
0 : 0 Temperley
06 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0 Patronato
30 Aug
Patronato
0 : 1 Almagro
26 Aug
Patronato
2 : 0 Atletico Atlanta
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1 Patronato
06 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0 Patronato
15 Aug
Colon Santa Fe
3 : 0 Patronato
09 Aug
Colegiales
2 : 2 Patronato
26 Jul
Midland
1 : 0 Patronato
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 35:25 | 58 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 48:29 | 55 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 38:26 | 52 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 44:28 | 49 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 38:25 | 48 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 23:17 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 27:25 | 42 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 24:27 | 39 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 22:20 | 37 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 27:29 | 36 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 23:26 | 36 |
| 12 | Racing Cordoba | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26:36 | 35 |
| 13 | All Boys | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 17:26 | 32 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 27:37 | 32 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 19:28 | 31 |
| 16 | San Miguel | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 24:34 | 31 |
| 17 | San Telmo | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 23:34 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 21:34 | 26 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 31:15 | 54 |
| 2 | Temperley | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 36:24 | 53 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 45:36 | 53 |
| 4 | Atletico Atlanta | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 34:28 | 49 |
| 5 | Midland | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 34:25 | 47 |
| 6 | San Martin S.J. | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 33:27 | 45 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 31:27 | 45 |
| 8 | Atl. Rafaela | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 25:26 | 42 |
| 9 | Deportivo Maipu | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 37:31 | 41 |
| 10 | Colegiales | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 29:30 | 40 |
| 11 | San Martin T. | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 32:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Agropecuario | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 26:34 | 36 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 28:27 | 35 |
| 14 | Almagro | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26:36 | 35 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 22:29 | 33 |
| 16 | Patronato | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 24:31 | 31 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 22:31 | 30 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 23:51 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
