Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Miercurea Ciuc vs Otelul

Romania Romania

Romanian Cup 2025/2026 Stadionul Municipal, Miercurea Ciuc
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Paszka L.
38' Event
Chira C.
46'
Sub
Paulo J. In: Lameira J.
Out: Paulo J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Otelul advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Miercurea Ciuc
15%
Draws
49%
Otelul
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Otelul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Otelul haven't matched Miercurea Ciuc's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Miercurea Ciuc taking it.
  • Miercurea Ciuc have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Otelul, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Miercurea Ciuc Clean Sheet 20%
Otelul Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miercurea Ciuc Otelul
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Superliga
Otelul vs Miercurea Ciuc
2:3
Jan 26, 2026 Superliga
Otelul vs Miercurea Ciuc
3:0
Dec 2, 2025 Romanian Cup
Miercurea Ciuc vs Otelul
1:2
Sep 1, 2025 Superliga
Miercurea Ciuc vs Otelul
1:1
Jun 21, 2025 Club Friendly
Otelul vs Miercurea Ciuc
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Miercurea Ciuc Compare

Top Goalscorer Eppel M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Otelul Compare

Top Goalscorer Chira C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bordun D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miercurea Ciuc 42 / 100
Otelul 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miercurea Ciuc Otelul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Otelul let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Miercurea Ciuc scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Otelul registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Miercurea Ciuc VS Otelul
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Miercurea Ciuc

(Home)
21 Sept
Petrolul
2 : 0
Miercurea Ciuc
11 Sept
Miercurea Ciuc
1 : 3
Dinamo Bucuresti
05 Sept
FC UTA Arad
5 : 1
Miercurea Ciuc
02 Sept
Gloria Bistrita
0 : 2
Miercurea Ciuc
29 Aug
Miercurea Ciuc
2 : 3
CFR Cluj
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Otelul

(Away)
21 Sept
Otelul
2 : 3
Corvinul Hunedoara
14 Sept
Universitatea Cluj
3 : 0
Otelul
06 Sept
Otelul
0 : 1
Rapid Bucuresti
28 Aug
Voluntari
2 : 2
Otelul
24 Aug
Otelul
1 : 0
Campionii Arges
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campionii Arges 3 3 0 0 7:4 9
2 CFR Cluj 3 1 2 0 7:3 5
3 Rapid Bucuresti 3 1 1 1 6:3 4
4 CSC Dumbravita 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
5 Metaloglobus Bucharest 3 0 2 1 6:7 2
6 CSM Slatina 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
Promotion - Romanian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Univ. Craiova 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Gloria Bistrita 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
3 FC UTA Arad 3 1 1 1 4:2 4
4 Petrolul 3 1 1 1 4:6 4
5 FCSB 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
6 Sanatatea Cluj 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitatea Cluj 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 Metalul Buzau 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 Otelul 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
4 Miercurea Ciuc 3 1 1 1 6:2 4
5 Sepsi 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
6 Sporting Liesti 3 0 1 2 7:15 1
Promotion - Romanian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Bucuresti 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 FC Hermannstadt 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Farul Constanta 3 1 2 0 5:1 5
4 FC Botosani 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
5 Concordia 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
6 CS Din. Bucuresti 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)