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Mighty Gunners vs Tigers

Namibia Namibia

Maris Cup
Sun, Jan 26, 2025
3 - 2
02:00 PM
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AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Mighty Gunners
35%
Draws
14%
Tigers
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mighty Gunners

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mighty Gunners come out ahead of Tigers on wins alone.
  • Model gives Mighty Gunners a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Mighty Gunners have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mighty Gunners, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Mighty Gunners Clean Sheet 20%
Tigers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mighty Gunners Tigers
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 16 9
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.19 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2025 Premiership
Tigers vs Mighty Gunners
1:1
Jan 26, 2025 Maris Cup
Mighty Gunners vs Tigers
3:2
Dec 7, 2024 Premiership
Mighty Gunners vs Tigers
1:0
Apr 12, 2024 Premiership
Tigers vs Mighty Gunners
2:2
Oct 7, 2023 Premiership
Mighty Gunners vs Tigers
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mighty Gunners 40 / 100
Tigers 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mighty Gunners Tigers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mighty Gunners Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mighty Gunners's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Tigers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Mighty Gunners remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Mighty Gunners VS Tigers
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mighty Gunners

(Home)
07 Jun
Mighty Gunners
0 : 0
Okahandja
01 Jun
Mighty Gunners
1 : 1
African Stars
31 May
Mighty Gunners
2 : 2
Young Africans
25 May
UNAM
0 : 1
Mighty Gunners
24 May
Bucks Bucaneers
1 : 1
Mighty Gunners
Page 1 of 7

Tigers

(Away)
07 Jun
Tigers
1 : 1
Ongo's
01 Jun
Tigers
0 : 2
UNAM
31 May
Tigers
2 : 2
Bucks Bucaneers
25 May
African Stars
2 : 0
Tigers
24 May
Young Africans
1 : 0
Tigers
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
UNAM 1
Eeshoke 0
Okahandja 1
Blue Waters 2
Cuca Tops 0
Ongo's 3
Young Africans 1
Young Brazilians 0
KK Palace 3
Khomas Nampol 0
Bucks Bucaneers 3
Julinho Sporting 0
Mighty Gunners 3
Tigers 2
Blue Boys 0
African Stars 3
Quarter-finals
UNAM 2
Blue Waters 1
Ongo's 0
Young Africans 1
KK Palace 0
Bucks Bucaneers 1
Mighty Gunners 0
African Stars 1
Semi-finals
UNAM 1
Young Africans 3
Bucks Bucaneers 1
African Stars 2
Final
Young Africans 0
African Stars 1