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Mighty Tigers vs Ekhaya

Malawi Malawi

Super League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Malinda B.
(Penalty)
52' Event
Chikwata C.

AI Match Summary

Ekhaya in this Super League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ekhaya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Mighty Tigers
30%
Draws
47%
Ekhaya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ekhaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ekhaya have won more games recently than Mighty Tigers.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Mighty Tigers Clean Sheet 17%
Ekhaya Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mighty Tigers Ekhaya
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.7 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 27, 2025 Super League
Mighty Tigers vs Ekhaya
0:2
Apr 5, 2025 Super League
Ekhaya vs Mighty Tigers
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mighty Tigers Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Ekhaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Chikwata C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mighty Tigers 31 / 100
Ekhaya 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mighty Tigers Ekhaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ekhaya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ekhaya let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Ekhaya lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Mighty Tigers scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Mighty Tigers VS Ekhaya
0 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mighty Tigers

(Home)
31 Jan
Mighty Tigers
0 : 2
Big Bullets
27 Dec
Mighty Tigers
0 : 2
Ekhaya
24 Dec
Blue Eagles
1 : 0
Mighty Tigers
20 Dec
Mighty Tigers
0 : 0
Big Bullets
03 Dec
Chitipa United
3 : 2
Mighty Tigers
Page 1 of 6

Ekhaya

(Away)
06 Sept
Ekhaya
0 : 0
Karonga United
22 Aug
Creck Sporting
3 : 2
Ekhaya
15 Aug
Silver Strikers
3 : 0
Ekhaya
08 Aug
Ekhaya
1 : 1
Dedza Dynamos
25 Jul
Chitipa United
1 : 0
Ekhaya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mighty Wanderers FC 30 20 9 1 51:14 69
2 Big Bullets 30 21 3 6 60:20 66
3 Silver Strikers 30 18 10 2 50:18 64
4 Blue Eagles 30 13 9 8 38:30 48
5 Civo Utd 30 13 8 9 39:21 47
6 Karonga United 30 13 5 12 31:28 44
7 Ekhaya 30 13 3 14 36:28 42
8 Creck Sporting 30 11 9 10 25:27 42
9 Moyale Barracks 30 10 10 10 28:40 40
10 Kamuzu Barracks 30 11 6 13 31:35 39
11 Chitipa United 30 9 10 11 23:30 37
12 Dedza Dynamos 30 8 8 14 24:33 32
13 MAFCO 30 8 7 15 29:37 31
14 Mzuzu City 30 7 7 16 26:49 28
15 Mighty Tigers 30 6 9 15 21:35 27
16 Songwe Border 30 1 3 26 10:77 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)