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Mighty Wanderers FC vs Big Bullets

Malawi Malawi

Super League
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Mpokera B.
(Penalty)
57' Event
Gasten Phodo M.
63' Event
Kamwendo P.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Big Bullets in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Big Bullets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Mighty Wanderers FC
11%
Draws
9%
Big Bullets
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Mighty Wanderers FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Mighty Wanderers FC haven't matched Big Bullets's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Mighty Wanderers FC taking it.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Mighty Wanderers FC Clean Sheet 68%
Big Bullets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mighty Wanderers FC Big Bullets
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 19
Draws 9 7
Losses 4 3
Goals Scored 1.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Super League
Mighty Wanderers FC vs Big Bullets
1:2
Oct 26, 2025 Super League
Big Bullets vs Mighty Wanderers FC
0:3
May 31, 2025 Super League
Mighty Wanderers FC vs Big Bullets
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 Super League
Mighty Wanderers FC vs Big Bullets
1:2
May 4, 2024 Super League
Big Bullets vs Mighty Wanderers FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mighty Wanderers FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Big Bullets Compare

Top Goalscorer Gasten Phodo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mighty Wanderers FC 86 / 100
Big Bullets 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mighty Wanderers FC Big Bullets

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mighty Wanderers FC scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Mighty Wanderers FC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Big Bullets's defensive record shows goals conceded in 45% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mighty Wanderers FC VS Big Bullets
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blue Eagles961214:819
2Big Bullets954012:619
3Mighty Wanderers FC953118:618
4Silver Strikers953114:318
5Ekhaya943212:615
6Red Lions94328:615
7Masters FC950411:1015
8Moyale Barracks93338:1012
9Mitundu Baptist93248:1011
10Civo Utd93246:911
11Chitipa United93156:1210
12MAFCO92347:89
13Karonga United92349:149
14Dedza Dynamos92255:158
15Creck Sporting91266:135
16Kamuzu Barracks91177:154