Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Migjorn vs Portmany

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Nnabama
55' Event
Romero A.
90' Event
Huescar R.

AI Match Summary

Migjorn in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Migjorn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Migjorn
20%
Draws
50%
Portmany
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Portmany

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Portmany lately — more wins on the board than Migjorn.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Migjorn Clean Sheet 17%
Portmany Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Migjorn Portmany
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 4 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 22 18
Goals Scored 0.72 0.81
Goals Conceded 2.55 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.80 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Migjorn vs Portmany
2:1
Dec 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Migjorn
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Migjorn Compare

Top Goalscorer Nnabama
1 Goals
Assists Leader Huescar R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.4

Portmany Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Migjorn 36 / 100
Portmany 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Migjorn Portmany

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portmany Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portmany's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Migjorn's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Migjorn has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Migjorn VS Portmany
0.6 Goals Scored 1
1.8 Goals Conceded 1
40% Over 1.5 63%
40% Over 2.5 50%
40% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Migjorn

(Home)
27 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 0
Binissalem
19 Sept
Manacor
5 : 1
Migjorn
12 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 3
SD Ibiza
06 Sept
PE Sant Jordi
1 : 0
Migjorn
11 May
Migjorn
1 : 3
Porreres
Page 1 of 6

Portmany

(Away)
10 May
Portmany
0 : 1
Rotlet Molinar
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
26 Apr
Portmany
1 : 1
Santanyi
18 Apr
CD Son Cladera
1 : 1
Portmany
11 Apr
Portmany
3 : 1
Alcudia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Poblense 34 22 6 6 47:17 72
2 Constancia 34 18 13 3 55:31 67
3 Formentera 34 19 9 6 68:34 66
4 Porreres 34 17 11 6 51:32 62
5 Penya Independent 34 17 7 10 59:34 58
6 Platges de Calvia 34 14 12 8 51:37 54
7 Manacor 34 13 12 9 54:36 51
8 Alcudia 34 13 8 13 51:53 47
9 Binissalem 34 13 8 13 35:34 47
10 Llosetense 34 12 8 14 47:45 44
11 Santanyi 34 10 13 11 40:45 43
12 Mercadal 34 10 10 14 40:43 40
13 Felanitx 34 10 10 14 33:50 40
14 Collerense 34 9 12 13 42:48 39
15 Portmany 34 8 13 13 43:51 37
16 PE Sant Jordi 34 8 6 20 30:52 30
17 Campos 34 4 8 22 31:75 20
18 Migjorn 34 4 4 26 22:82 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 (Play Offs)