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Migjorn vs SD Ibiza

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 game between Migjorn and SD Ibiza finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SD Ibiza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Migjorn
20%
Draws
73%
SD Ibiza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SD Ibiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SD Ibiza come out ahead of Migjorn on wins alone.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on SD Ibiza taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Migjorn Clean Sheet 19%
SD Ibiza Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Migjorn SD Ibiza
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 4 11
Draws 3 8
Losses 22 9
Goals Scored 0.76 1.29
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Migjorn vs SD Ibiza
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Migjorn 10 / 100
SD Ibiza 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Migjorn SD Ibiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Ibiza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: SD Ibiza conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Migjorn's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Migjorn has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Migjorn VS SD Ibiza
0.33 Goals Scored 1.25
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.38
33% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Migjorn

(Home)
12 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 3
SD Ibiza
06 Sept
PE Sant Jordi
1 : 0
Migjorn
11 May
Migjorn
1 : 3
Porreres
03 May
Binissalem
2 : 0
Migjorn
30 Apr
Migjorn
1 : 1
Santanyi
Page 1 of 6

SD Ibiza

(Away)
12 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 3
SD Ibiza
06 Sept
SD Ibiza
2 : 1
Platges de Calvia
08 Aug
UD Ibiza
1 : 0
SD Ibiza
03 May
SD Ibiza
3 : 1
UD Poblense
26 Apr
SD Ibiza
2 : 2
Andratx
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcudia 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 SD Ibiza 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
3 PE Sant Jordi 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
4 Manacor 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
5 Constancia 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
6 Formentera 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
7 Mercadal 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
8 Cardassar 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
9 Llosetense 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
10 Porreres 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
11 Andratx 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
12 Santanyi 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
13 Platges de Calvia 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
14 Binissalem 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
15 Migjorn 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
16 Sineu 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
17 Arenal 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
18 Inter Ibiza 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 (Play Offs)