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Miguelense vs Jacioba

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano 2 2025
Miguelense Logo

Miguelense

4 - 0
FT
Jacioba Logo

Jacioba

Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Victor Hugo
71' Event
Victor Hugo
79' Event
Gabriel Silva R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Miguelense in this Alagoano 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Miguelense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Miguelense
15%
Draws
12%
Jacioba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Miguelense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Jacioba haven't matched Miguelense's recent run of results.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Miguelense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Miguelense have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Miguelense Clean Sheet 10%
Jacioba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miguelense Jacioba
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 7 2
Draws 3 1
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 0.8 0.48
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.96 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Alagoano 2
Jacioba vs Miguelense
0:1
Aug 31, 2025 Alagoano 2
Miguelense vs Jacioba
4:0
Sep 22, 2024 Alagoano 2
Jacioba vs Miguelense
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Miguelense Compare

Top Goalscorer Victor Hugo
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gabriel Silva R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.51
Avg xA / game 0.98

Jacioba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miguelense 83 / 100
Jacioba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miguelense Jacioba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Miguelense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jacioba let in goals in 90% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Difficult form: Jacioba registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Miguelense scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Miguelense VS Jacioba
0.63 Goals Scored 0
3.25 Goals Conceded 3.29
88% Over 1.5 57%
88% Over 2.5 43%
50% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Miguelense

(Home)
17 May
Sporting FC
2 : 0
Miguelense
10 May
Miguelense
0 : 3
Sporting FC
02 May
Miguelense
0 : 1
Zumbi
25 Apr
Jacioba
0 : 1
Miguelense
22 Apr
Miguelense
4 : 0
Sao Domingos AL
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Jacioba

(Away)
02 May
Alianca
9 : 0
Jacioba
25 Apr
Jacioba
0 : 1
Miguelense
22 Apr
Zumbi
2 : 0
Jacioba
19 Apr
Sao Domingos AL
0 : 0
Jacioba
11 Apr
Jacioba
0 : 1
Sporting FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarany Alagoano 7 7 0 0 16:2 21
2 Cruzeiro Arapiraca 7 5 1 1 11:4 16
3 Dimensao Capela 7 4 0 3 12:7 12
4 Agrimaq 7 4 0 3 13:11 12
5 Zumbi 7 3 1 3 10:6 10
6 Alianca 7 2 0 5 10:12 6
7 Miguelense 7 2 0 5 8:13 6
8 Jacioba 7 0 0 7 3:28 0
Promotion - Alagoano 2 2025 (Play Offs)