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Miguelense vs Sporting FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano 2
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Silva R. F.
21' Event
Everson
(Penalty)
72' Event
Kassio

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Miguelense
15%
Draws
58%
Sporting FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sporting FC come out ahead of Miguelense on wins alone.
  • Sporting FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Sporting FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sporting FC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sporting FC have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Miguelense Clean Sheet 10%
Sporting FC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miguelense Sporting FC
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 3 8
Losses 23 9
Goals Scored 0.79 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Alagoano 2
Sporting FC vs Miguelense
2:0
May 10, 2026 Alagoano 2
Miguelense vs Sporting FC
0:3
Apr 19, 2026 Alagoano 2
Sporting FC vs Miguelense
4:1
Apr 16, 2017 Alagoano
Sporting FC vs Miguelense
3:1
Mar 29, 2017 Alagoano
Miguelense vs Sporting FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Miguelense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.26

Sporting FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva R. F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kassio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miguelense 10 / 100
Sporting FC 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miguelense Sporting FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Sporting FC let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Miguelense scored in 48% of their last 33 outings.

Miguelense went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Miguelense VS Sporting FC
0.63 Goals Scored 2.63
3.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Miguelense

(Home)
17 May
Sporting FC
2 : 0
Miguelense
10 May
Miguelense
0 : 3
Sporting FC
02 May
Miguelense
0 : 1
Zumbi
25 Apr
Jacioba
0 : 1
Miguelense
22 Apr
Miguelense
4 : 0
Sao Domingos AL
Page 1 of 7

Sporting FC

(Away)
31 May
Sporting FC
2 : 2
Zumbi
24 May
Zumbi
0 : 2
Sporting FC
17 May
Sporting FC
2 : 0
Miguelense
10 May
Miguelense
0 : 3
Sporting FC
02 May
Sporting FC
3 : 0
Sao Domingos AL
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Zumbi 1
Alianca 0
Sporting FC 5
Miguelense 0
Final
Zumbi 2
Sporting FC 4