Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025

Malaga City

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mijas Las Lagunas play Malaga City in the Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025. Mijas Las Lagunas are favorites here. Recently, Mijas Las Lagunas averaged 1.51 goals scored and 0.66 conceded. Malaga City averaged 1 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Mijas Las Lagunas won 2, Malaga City won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 12, 2025 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Mijas Las Lagunas and 0.81 for Malaga City. This points to a Mijas Las Lagunas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Mijas Las Lagunas

25%

Draws

15%

Malaga City

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Mijas Las Lagunas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Mijas Las Lagunas picked up more points recently compared to Malaga City.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 0.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

Mijas Las Lagunas Clean Sheet 26%

Malaga City Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 57%

Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mijas Las Lagunas	Malaga City
Matches Played	35	30
Wins	20	5
Draws	10	6
Losses	5	19
Goals Scored	1.51	1
Goals Conceded	0.66	1.77

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Mijas Las Lagunas vs Malaga City

Possession: 56% - 53% Cards: 1 - 3

4:0

Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Malaga City vs Mijas Las Lagunas

Possession: 47% - 49% Cards: 3 - 1

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mijas Las Lagunas Compare

Top Goalscorer Caballero A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Moreno J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Malaga City Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mijas Las Lagunas 59 / 100

Malaga City 16 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mijas Las Lagunas Malaga City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mijas Las Lagunas Win (1)

Secondary Pick Mijas Las Lagunas & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.2%

1.92

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mijas Las Lagunas attacking → ← attacking Malaga City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mijas Las Lagunas scored in 74% of their last 35 games.

Malaga City let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Mijas Las Lagunas went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Malaga City lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

70 Points in last 5 21

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Malaga B	34	26	5	3	76:22	83
2	Jaen	34	22	7	5	60:35	73
3	Motril	34	18	7	9	57:35	61
4	Torre del Mar	34	18	7	9	48:30	61
5	Huetor Tajar	34	17	6	11	35:28	57
6	Huetor Vega	34	16	9	9	49:36	57
7	Mijas Las Lagunas	34	14	12	8	53:35	54
8	CD Torreperogil	34	13	11	10	42:37	50
9	Mancha	34	13	7	14	37:39	46
10	Marbelli	34	11	9	14	32:42	42
11	El Palo	34	10	11	13	36:49	41
12	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno	34	10	10	14	43:44	40
13	Arenas Armilla	34	9	11	14	40:49	38
14	Martos	34	11	5	18	28:41	38
15	Atletico de Porcuna	34	9	9	16	45:55	36
16	Ejido	34	7	6	21	36:68	27
17	CP Almeria	34	7	2	25	35:75	23
18	Malaga City	34	5	6	23	31:63	21