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Mikkelin vs AC Kajaani

Finland Finland

Ykkonen 2020
Mikkelin Logo

Mikkelin

2 - 1
FT
AC Kajaani Logo

AC Kajaani

Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Abdelali W.
45'
Rasanen S.
45'
Abdelali W.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mikkelin in this Ykkonen 2020 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mikkelin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Mikkelin
30%
Draws
33%
AC Kajaani
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mikkelin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mikkelin lately — more wins on the board than AC Kajaani.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ykkonen 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Mikkelin Clean Sheet 19%
AC Kajaani Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mikkelin AC Kajaani
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 12 7
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.21 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2020 Ykkosliiga
AC Kajaani vs Mikkelin
0:0
Jul 19, 2020 Ykkosliiga
Mikkelin vs AC Kajaani
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mikkelin Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdelali W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sadik I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

AC Kajaani Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mikkelin 36 / 100
AC Kajaani 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mikkelin AC Kajaani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AC Kajaani Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: AC Kajaani conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Mikkelin found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Mikkelin went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mikkelin VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mikkelin

(Home)
25 Sept
KTP
1 : 1
Mikkelin
19 Sept
Mikkelin
1 : 0
Jippo
12 Sept
Mikkelin
1 : 1
SJK Akatemia
06 Sept
Haka
0 : 2
Mikkelin
29 Aug
Mikkelin
0 : 3
PK-35
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AC Kajaani

(Away)
31 Oct
KTP
1 : 4
AC Kajaani
24 Oct
AC Kajaani
0 : 1
SJK Akatemia
21 Oct
AC Kajaani
10 : 2
MyPa
17 Oct
Jaro
1 : 1
AC Kajaani
10 Oct
KPV Kokkola
8 : 2
AC Kajaani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AC Oulu 22 15 5 2 38:16 50
2 KTP 22 14 5 3 51:23 47
3 Jaro 22 12 5 5 50:31 41
4 Ekenas IF 22 10 6 6 45:25 36
5 MuSa 22 10 4 8 38:38 34
6 VPS 22 9 6 7 37:36 33
7 Mikkelin 22 8 5 9 29:35 29
8 KPV Kokkola 22 8 4 10 38:34 28
9 Gnistan 22 7 4 11 38:49 25
10 AC Kajaani 22 5 8 9 35:37 23
11 SJK Akatemia 22 4 3 15 22:49 15
12 MyPa 22 1 3 18 21:69 6
Promotion - Veikkausliiga 2021 (Main)
Promotion - Veikkausliiga 2020 (Relegation)