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Mikkelin vs MPS

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A 2016
Mikkelin Logo

Mikkelin

1 - 0
FT
MPS Logo

MPS

Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Ekmark S.
49'
Vesterinen M.
90' Event
Mutka M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen Group A 2016 game between Mikkelin and MPS finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mikkelin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Mikkelin
15%
Draws
49%
MPS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MPS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Mikkelin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Mikkelin taking it.
  • Regular Kakkonen Group A 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Mikkelin have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Mikkelin Clean Sheet 18%
MPS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mikkelin MPS
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 18 3
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 1.67 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2016 Kakkonen Group A
Mikkelin vs MPS
1:0
May 8, 2016 Kakkonen Group A
MPS vs Mikkelin
1:3
Oct 1, 2011 Kakkonen Group A
Mikkelin vs MPS
5:1
Jul 10, 2011 Kakkonen Group A
MPS vs Mikkelin
1:1
Aug 18, 2007 Kakkonen Group A
MPS vs Mikkelin
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mikkelin Compare

Top Goalscorer Mutka M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

MPS Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mikkelin 49 / 100
MPS 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mikkelin MPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mikkelin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: MPS conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Mikkelin's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 42 recent games.

Away concern: MPS has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mikkelin VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mikkelin

(Home)
29 Aug
Mikkelin
0 : 3
PK-35
22 Aug
Klubi 04
4 : 3
Mikkelin
16 Aug
Mikkelin
0 : 2
Ekenas IF
07 Aug
JaPS
1 : 0
Mikkelin
29 Jul
Mikkelin
2 : 1
KaPa
Page 1 of 9

MPS

(Away)
11 Apr
MPS
0 : 7
EBK
01 Oct
MPS
1 : 1
KaPa
25 Sept
Vaajakoski
2 : 1
MPS
18 Sept
PEPO
2 : 1
MPS
11 Sept
MPS
3 : 2
Kultsu Joutseno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gnistan 22 15 3 4 45:25 48
2 KuFu-98 22 13 4 5 42:23 43
3 Mikkelin 22 11 3 8 44:36 36
4 JaPS 22 7 10 5 33:23 31
5 Lahti/69 22 8 7 7 31:32 31
6 PEPO 22 9 3 10 39:32 30
7 Kultsu Joutseno 22 9 3 10 30:27 30
8 KaPa 22 8 6 8 27:30 30
9 Sudet 22 7 5 10 32:39 26
10 FC Futura 22 7 3 12 31:48 24
11 Vaajakoski 22 5 7 10 31:46 22
12 MPS 22 3 6 13 23:47 15
Promotion - Kakkonen Group A 2016 (Play Offs)