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Milazzo vs Lamezia Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Milazzo
20%
Draws
20%
Lamezia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Milazzo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Milazzo have won more games recently than Lamezia.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Milazzo taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Milazzo Clean Sheet 68%
Lamezia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Milazzo Lamezia
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 7
Draws 5 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.86 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Milazzo vs Lamezia
0:0
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Lamezia vs Milazzo
0:1
Aug 19, 2012 Coppa Italia Serie C
Lamezia vs Milazzo
3:0
Jan 22, 2012 Lega Pro C2/B
Milazzo vs Lamezia
0:1
Sep 14, 2011 Lega Pro C2/B
Lamezia vs Milazzo
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Milazzo 77 / 100
Lamezia 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Milazzo Lamezia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Milazzo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lamezia let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Lamezia's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Milazzo scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Milazzo VS Lamezia
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Milazzo

(Home)
27 Sept
Athletic Palermo
3 : 0
Milazzo
20 Sept
Milazzo
0 : 1
Sambiase
16 Sept
Enna
0 : 1
Milazzo
13 Sept
Milazzo
3 : 1
USD Ragusa
06 Sept
Castrumfavara
3 : 0
Milazzo
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Lamezia

(Away)
27 Sept
Sambiase
4 : 1
Lamezia
20 Sept
Lamezia
0 : 3
Reggina
16 Sept
USD Ragusa
1 : 1
Lamezia
12 Sept
Lamezia
2 : 2
Igea Virtus
06 Sept
Nissa
3 : 1
Lamezia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)