Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Milazzo vs USD Ragusa

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Dall'Oglio J.
45' Event
Morabito G.
56' Event
Dall'Oglio J.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I game between Milazzo and USD Ragusa finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Milazzo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Milazzo
15%
Draws
8%
USD Ragusa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Milazzo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • USD Ragusa haven't matched Milazzo's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Milazzo a 77% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Milazzo here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Milazzo Clean Sheet 68%
USD Ragusa Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Milazzo USD Ragusa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 5 12
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.87 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Milazzo vs USD Ragusa
3:1
Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Milazzo vs USD Ragusa
0:1
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group I
USD Ragusa vs Milazzo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Milazzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Dall'Oglio J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Morabito G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

USD Ragusa Compare

Top Goalscorer Golfo F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Milazzo 77 / 100
USD Ragusa 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Milazzo USD Ragusa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Milazzo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Milazzo found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: USD Ragusa conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Milazzo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Milazzo VS USD Ragusa
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Milazzo

(Home)
04 Oct
Milazzo
1 : 0
Siracusa
27 Sept
Athletic Palermo
3 : 0
Milazzo
20 Sept
Milazzo
0 : 1
Sambiase
16 Sept
Enna
0 : 1
Milazzo
13 Sept
Milazzo
3 : 1
USD Ragusa
Page 1 of 6

USD Ragusa

(Away)
04 Oct
Calcio Avola
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
27 Sept
USD Ragusa
0 : 1
Trapani
20 Sept
Licata
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
16 Sept
USD Ragusa
1 : 1
Lamezia
13 Sept
Milazzo
3 : 1
USD Ragusa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reggina 6 5 0 1 15:1 15
2 Vibonese 6 4 1 1 15:5 13
3 Sambiase 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
4 Calcio Avola 6 4 0 2 9:10 12
5 Igea Virtus 6 3 2 1 14:11 11
6 Licata 6 3 2 1 8:8 11
7 Digiesse PraiaTortora 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
8 Milazzo 6 3 0 3 5:8 9
9 Athletic Palermo 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
10 Nissa 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
11 ASD Modica Calcio 6 2 1 3 6:5 7
12 Lamezia 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
13 Siracusa 6 3 2 1 8:5 4
14 Castrumfavara 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
15 Gela 6 1 2 3 4:6 4
16 USD Ragusa 6 0 2 4 4:9 2
17 Trapani 6 2 0 4 3:10 1
18 Enna 6 0 1 5 0:15 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)