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Millesimo vs Alessandria

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Piacenza T.
28' Event
Piacenza T.
43' Event
Cirio E.

AI Match Summary

Millesimo in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Millesimo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Millesimo
15%
Draws
32%
Alessandria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Millesimo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alessandria lately — more wins on the board than Millesimo.
  • Win probability leans Millesimo's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Millesimo Clean Sheet 68%
Alessandria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Millesimo Alessandria
Matches Played 3 29
Wins 2 4
Draws 0 5
Losses 1 20
Goals Scored 2 0.55
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Millesimo vs Alessandria
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Millesimo Compare

Top Goalscorer Piacenza T.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Gualtieri M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Alessandria Compare

Top Goalscorer Cirio E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.27

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Millesimo 86 / 100
Alessandria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Millesimo Alessandria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Millesimo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alessandria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Millesimo scored in 67% of their last 3 outings.

Difficult form: Alessandria registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Millesimo VS Alessandria
1.2 Goals Scored 0.38
0.6 Goals Conceded 1.5
40% Over 1.5 50%
40% Over 2.5 25%
20% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Millesimo

(Home)
16 Sept
Millesimo
4 : 1
Alessandria
12 Sept
Millesimo
2 : 1
Valenzana
06 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 0
Millesimo

Alessandria

(Away)
16 Sept
Millesimo
4 : 1
Alessandria
13 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1
Sestri Levante
06 Sept
Valenzana
1 : 2
Alessandria
04 Aug
Alessandria
1 : 2
Juventus U23
28 Apr
Alessandria
1 : 2
Vicenza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derthona FbC 4 3 1 0 6:3 10
2 Saluzzo 4 2 2 0 8:4 8
3 AS Biellese 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
4 GSD Lascaris 4 2 2 0 3:1 8
5 Fezzanese 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
6 Asti Calcio 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
7 Millesimo 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
8 Alessandria 3 2 0 1 5:6 6
9 Sanremese 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
10 Gozzano 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
11 Imperia Calcio 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
12 Ligorna 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
13 Chisola 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
14 Sestri Levante 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
15 Bra 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
16 Borgosesia Calcio 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
17 Valenzana 4 0 1 3 4:7 1
18 Celle Varazze 4 0 0 4 1:7 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)