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Millesimo vs Valenzana

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Cappellari T.
29' Event
Belecco L.
82' Event
Totaro E.

AI Match Summary

Millesimo in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Millesimo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

75%
Millesimo
15%
Draws
10%
Valenzana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Millesimo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / Very High Confidence
  • Valenzana have won more games recently than Millesimo.
  • 75% — that's where the model lands on Millesimo taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Millesimo Clean Sheet 20%
Valenzana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Millesimo Valenzana
Matches Played 4 29
Wins 2 8
Draws 0 7
Losses 2 14
Goals Scored 1.5 0.9
Goals Conceded 1 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Millesimo vs Valenzana
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Millesimo Compare

Top Goalscorer Cappellari T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Totaro E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Valenzana Compare

Top Goalscorer Belecco L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Millesimo 85 / 100
Valenzana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Millesimo Valenzana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Millesimo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Valenzana conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Valenzana registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Millesimo scored in 50% of their last 4 outings.

Scoring Trends

Millesimo VS Valenzana
1.2 Goals Scored 1.25
0.8 Goals Conceded 1.88
40% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 50%
20% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Millesimo

(Home)
20 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 0
Millesimo
16 Sept
Millesimo
4 : 1
Alessandria
12 Sept
Millesimo
2 : 1
Valenzana
06 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 0
Millesimo

Valenzana

(Away)
20 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 2
Valenzana
16 Sept
Valenzana
0 : 1
GSD Lascaris
12 Sept
Millesimo
2 : 1
Valenzana
06 Sept
Valenzana
1 : 2
Alessandria
03 May
Valenzana
2 : 3
Chisola
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derthona FbC 4 3 1 0 6:3 10
2 Saluzzo 4 2 2 0 8:4 8
3 AS Biellese 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
4 GSD Lascaris 4 2 2 0 3:1 8
5 Fezzanese 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
6 Asti Calcio 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
7 Millesimo 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
8 Alessandria 3 2 0 1 5:6 6
9 Sanremese 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
10 Gozzano 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
11 Imperia Calcio 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
12 Ligorna 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
13 Chisola 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
14 Sestri Levante 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
15 Bra 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
16 Borgosesia Calcio 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
17 Valenzana 4 0 1 3 4:7 1
18 Celle Varazze 4 0 0 4 1:7 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)