Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Millonarios U20 vs LDU Quito U20

South America South America

Copa Libertadores U20 2022 Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Gomez A.
79' Event
Sosa O. R.
86' Event
Onate A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Millonarios U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Millonarios U20
28%
Draws
22%
LDU Quito U20
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Millonarios U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • LDU Quito U20 haven't matched Millonarios U20's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Millonarios U20's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Millonarios U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Millonarios U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Millonarios U20 Clean Sheet 20%
LDU Quito U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Millonarios U20 LDU Quito U20
Matches Played 3 6
Wins 2 1
Draws 0 2
Losses 1 3
Goals Scored 1 1.17
Goals Conceded 1 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2022 Copa Libertadores U20
Millonarios U20 vs LDU Quito U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Millonarios U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Onate A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

LDU Quito U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sosa O. R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Millonarios U20 49 / 100
LDU Quito U20 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Millonarios U20 LDU Quito U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: LDU Quito U20 conceded in 83% of 6 recent games.

Millonarios U20 found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (3 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: LDU Quito U20 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Millonarios U20 VS LDU Quito U20
1 Goals Scored 1.17
1 Goals Conceded 1.67
67% Over 1.5 83%
33% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Millonarios U20

(Home)
12 Feb
Millonarios U20
2 : 1
LDU Quito U20
09 Feb
Internacional U20
0 : 1
Millonarios U20
06 Feb
Penarol U20
2 : 0
Millonarios U20

LDU Quito U20

(Away)
15 Mar
LDU Quito U20
3 : 3
S. Wanderers U20
12 Mar
Club Nacional U20
2 : 1
LDU Quito U20
09 Mar
CA Belgrano de Cordoba U20
1 : 1
LDU Quito U20
12 Feb
Millonarios U20
2 : 1
LDU Quito U20
09 Feb
LDU Quito U20
0 : 2
Penarol U20
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle U20330013:19
2Caracas U2032016:46
3Sporting Cristal U2031026:123
4Blooming U2030030:80
Promotion - Copa Libertadores U20 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol U2032105:17
2Millonarios U2032013:36
3LDU Quito U2031022:43
4Internacional U2030121:31
Promotion - Copa Libertadores U20 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guarani U2032015:26
2Newells Old Boys U2032014:26
3Orense U2032015:56
4U. De Concepcion U2030033:80
Promotion - Copa Libertadores U20 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams