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Stadium Background

Millonarios W vs America de Cali W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women 2025 Estadio El Campín
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Bahr E.
Assist: Ospina D.
44' Event
Bahr E.
Assist: Rivas M.
46'
Sub
Basanta L. In: Chanchi I.
Out: Basanta L.

AI Match Summary

Millonarios W host America de Cali W in the Liga Women 2025. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Millonarios W at 2.38 goals for, 0.25 against; America de Cali W at 0.88 for, 0.5 against. Head-to-head, Millonarios W have won 2 to America de Cali W's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on May 11, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 0.56) point toward Millonarios W. Millonarios W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Millonarios W
33%
Draws
27%
America de Cali W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Millonarios W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Millonarios W demonstrates higher offensive output (2.38 avg goals) than America de Cali W (0.88 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Millonarios W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Women 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Millonarios W Clean Sheet 68%
America de Cali W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Millonarios W America de Cali W
Matches Played 34 33
Wins 17 17
Draws 10 8
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.25 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Liga Women
Millonarios W vs America de Cali W
0:0
Aug 28, 2025 Liga Women
America de Cali W vs Millonarios W
1:1
Aug 3, 2025 Liga Women
Millonarios W vs America de Cali W
2:2
Mar 16, 2025 Liga Women
Millonarios W vs America de Cali W
1:0
Jul 7, 2024 Liga Women
America de Cali W vs Millonarios W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Millonarios W Compare

Top Goalscorer Viafara F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olivares L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

America de Cali W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bahr E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Millonarios W 50 / 100
America de Cali W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Millonarios W America de Cali W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Millonarios W scored in 79% of their last 34 games.

America de Cali W let in goals in 58% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Millonarios W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

America de Cali W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Millonarios W VS America de Cali W
2.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Orsomarso W63309:312
2Dep. Cali W62317:39
3Ind. Medellin W61327:126
4Inter Palmira W60333:83
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Nacional W650111:515
2Indep. Santa Fe W62135:67
3America de Cali W61325:86
4Millonarios W61236:85