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Millonarios W vs Indep. Santa Fe W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Estadio El Campín, Bogotá
Millonarios W Logo

Millonarios W

1 - 2
FT
Indep. Santa Fe W Logo

Indep. Santa Fe W

Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Zamorano M.
36' Event
Garavito D.
Assist: Zamorano M.
43'
Baldallo M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Millonarios W
35%
Draws
35%
Indep. Santa Fe W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Indep. Santa Fe W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Millonarios W's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Indep. Santa Fe W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Millonarios W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Millonarios W Clean Sheet 68%
Indep. Santa Fe W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Millonarios W Indep. Santa Fe W
Matches Played 31 38
Wins 14 16
Draws 12 10
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.74 1.58
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Liga Women
Millonarios W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
1:2
Sep 18, 2026 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Millonarios W
2:2
Aug 4, 2026 Liga Women
Millonarios W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
1:0
May 3, 2026 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Millonarios W
0:0
Aug 24, 2025 Liga Women
Millonarios W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Millonarios W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Indep. Santa Fe W Compare

Top Goalscorer Garavito D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zamorano M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Millonarios W 59 / 100
Indep. Santa Fe W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Millonarios W Indep. Santa Fe W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Millonarios W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Millonarios W found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Millonarios W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Indep. Santa Fe W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 38 matches.

Scoring Trends

Millonarios W VS Indep. Santa Fe W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Millonarios W

(Home)
20 Sept
Millonarios W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
18 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 2
Millonarios W
13 Sept
Inter Bogotá W
0 : 0
Millonarios W
09 Sept
Millonarios W
2 : 1
Atl. Nacional W
03 Sept
Inter Palmira W
2 : 2
Millonarios W
Page 1 of 7

Indep. Santa Fe W

(Away)
26 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
24 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 3
Dep. Cali W
20 Sept
Millonarios W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
18 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 2
Millonarios W
12 Sept
Orsomarso W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Millonarios W 3
Indep. Santa Fe W 4
Dep. Cali W 6
Atl. Nacional W 1
Final
Indep. Santa Fe W 4
Dep. Cali W 7