Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Millwall vs Hull City

England England

Championship 2025/2026 The Den, London
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Egan J.
45'
Sub
Joseph K. In: Belloumi M.
Out: Joseph K.
52'
Hughes C.

AI Match Summary

Hull City in this Championship 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Millwall
15%
Draws
45%
Hull City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hull City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Millwall lately — more wins on the board than Hull City.
  • Win probability leans Hull City's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Millwall have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hull City, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Millwall Clean Sheet 18%
Hull City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Millwall Hull City
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.32 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Championship
Millwall vs Hull City
0:2
May 8, 2026 Championship
Hull City vs Millwall
0:0
Mar 7, 2026 Championship
Hull City vs Millwall
1:3
Dec 13, 2025 Championship
Millwall vs Hull City
1:3
Jan 18, 2025 Championship
Millwall vs Hull City
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Millwall Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Hull City Compare

Top Goalscorer Belloumi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gelhardt J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Millwall 20 / 100
Hull City 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Millwall Hull City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hull City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Millwall found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Hull City let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Millwall went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Millwall VS Hull City
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Millwall

(Home)
02 Sept
Millwall
0 : 3
Wrexham
29 Aug
Southampton
5 : 1
Millwall
25 Aug
Cambridge Utd
0 : 1
Millwall
22 Aug
Millwall
3 : 0
Norwich
15 Aug
Bristol City
0 : 2
Millwall
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Hull City

(Away)
29 Aug
Coventry
0 : 1
Hull City
25 Aug
Stoke City
1 : 2
Hull City
22 Aug
Hull City
2 : 0
Manchester United
15 Aug
Hull City
0 : 0
Nice
08 Aug
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 : 0
Hull City
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Millwall 0
Hull City 2
Southampton 2
Middlesbrough 1
Final
Hull City 1
Middlesbrough 0