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Millwall vs Lincoln City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Championship The Den, London
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Millwall host Lincoln City in the Championship. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Millwall at 1.27 goals for, 1.1 against; Lincoln City at 1.45 for, 1.28 against. Past meetings favor Millwall slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 13, 1999, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.19 - 1.56) back Lincoln City to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Millwall
20%
Draws
44%
Lincoln City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lincoln City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Millwall haven't matched Lincoln City's recent run of results.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Millwall Clean Sheet 15%
Lincoln City Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Millwall Lincoln City
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 17
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.27 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 1999 League One
Lincoln City vs Millwall
2:0
Sep 9, 1998 League One
Millwall vs Lincoln City
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Millwall 30 / 100
Lincoln City 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Millwall Lincoln City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Millwall Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Millwall found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Millwall has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Lincoln City registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Millwall VS Lincoln City
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Millwall

(Home)
10 Oct
Preston
0 : 1
Millwall
19 Sept
Millwall
2 : 2
West Ham
15 Sept
Middlesbrough
2 : 2
Millwall
12 Sept
Blackburn
3 : 1
Millwall
08 Sept
Millwall
0 : 1
Newcastle Utd
Page 1 of 6

Lincoln City

(Away)
10 Oct
Sheffield Utd
3 : 0
Lincoln City
19 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 2
Swansea
15 Sept
Bristol City
0 : 1
Lincoln City
12 Sept
Preston
0 : 1
Lincoln City
08 Sept
Bournemouth
4 : 0
Lincoln City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swansea 9 6 2 1 15:7 20
2 Middlesbrough 9 5 3 1 17:12 18
3 West Ham 9 4 4 1 23:12 16
4 Stoke City 9 5 1 3 15:13 16
5 Wolves 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
6 QPR 9 3 5 1 11:8 14
7 Birmingham 9 3 5 1 13:11 14
8 Millwall 9 4 2 3 16:15 14
9 West Brom 9 4 2 3 10:9 14
10 Bristol City 9 4 2 3 12:13 14
11 Charlton 9 3 4 2 8:11 13
12 Blackburn 9 3 3 3 14:13 12
13 Sheffield Utd 9 3 3 3 12:11 12
14 Wrexham 9 2 5 2 10:13 11
15 Lincoln City 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
16 Southampton 8 4 2 2 19:10 10
17 Bolton 9 3 1 5 12:17 10
18 Norwich 9 3 0 6 17:19 9
19 Portsmouth 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
20 Watford 9 2 2 5 7:14 8
21 Cardiff 9 1 4 4 11:14 7
22 Burnley 9 1 4 4 13:17 7
23 Derby 9 1 3 5 8:15 6
24 Preston 9 1 1 7 8:16 4
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)