Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Millwall vs Oxford Utd

England England

Championship 2025/2026 The Den, London
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Sub
Konak Y. E. In: Brannagan C.
Out: Konak Y. E.
34' Event
Azeez F.
Assist: Ivanovic M.
39'
Ballo T.

AI Match Summary

The Championship 2025/2026 game between Millwall and Oxford Utd finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Millwall.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Millwall
17%
Draws
70%
Oxford Utd
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Oxford Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Millwall come out ahead of Oxford Utd on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Oxford Utd's way, sitting at 70%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Millwall Clean Sheet 18%
Oxford Utd Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Millwall Oxford Utd
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Championship
Millwall vs Oxford Utd
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 Championship
Oxford Utd vs Millwall
2:2
Jan 1, 2025 Championship
Millwall vs Oxford Utd
0:1
Nov 30, 2024 Championship
Oxford Utd vs Millwall
1:1
Aug 27, 2019 EFL Cup
Oxford Utd vs Millwall
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Millwall Compare

Top Goalscorer Azeez F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Oxford Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Millwall 15 / 100
Oxford Utd 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Millwall Oxford Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OXF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Millwall scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Oxford Utd conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Millwall remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Millwall VS Oxford Utd
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Millwall

(Home)
28 Jul
Bromley
1 : 1
Millwall
25 Jul
Stevenage
1 : 0
Millwall
21 Jul
Gillingham
1 : 0
Millwall
17 Jul
Eldense
1 : 2
Millwall
14 Jul
FC Andorra
2 : 1
Millwall
Page 1 of 6

Oxford Utd

(Away)
28 Jul
Oxford Utd
3 : 1
Crawley Town
25 Jul
Barnet
1 : 2
Oxford Utd
21 Jul
Aldershot
1 : 3
Oxford Utd
02 May
Millwall
2 : 0
Oxford Utd
25 Apr
Oxford Utd
4 : 1
Sheffield Wed
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Coventry462811797:4595
2Ipswich462315880:4784
3Millwall4624111164:4983
4Southampton4622141082:5680
5Middlesbrough4622141072:4780
6Hull City4621101570:6673
7Wrexham4619141369:6571
8Derby462091767:5969
9Norwich461981963:5665
10Birmingham4617131657:5664
11Swansea4618101857:5964
12Bristol City4617111859:5962
13Sheffield Utd461862266:6660
14Preston4615151655:6260
15QPR4616102061:7358
16Watford4614151753:6557
17Stoke City4615102151:5655
18Portsmouth4614131949:6455
19Charlton4613141944:5853
20Blackburn4613132042:5652
21West Brom4613141948:5851
22Oxford Utd4611142145:5947
23Leicester4612161858:6846
24Sheffield Wed462123229:890
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)