Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Millwall vs West Ham

England England

Championship The Den, London
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Taylor C.
40'
Morato
45' Event
Neghli C.
Assist: Dykes L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Millwall
30%
Draws
47%
West Ham
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: West Ham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • West Ham haven't matched Millwall's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on West Ham taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Millwall Clean Sheet 10%
West Ham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Millwall West Ham
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.39 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Championship
Millwall vs West Ham
2:2
Feb 4, 2012 Championship
West Ham vs Millwall
2:1
Sep 17, 2011 Championship
Millwall vs West Ham
0:0
Aug 25, 2009 EFL Cup
West Ham vs Millwall
3:1
Apr 16, 2005 Championship
West Ham vs Millwall
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Millwall Compare

Top Goalscorer Taylor C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Neghli C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

West Ham Compare

Top Goalscorer Kante M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mavropanos K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Millwall 10 / 100
West Ham 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Millwall West Ham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick West Ham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Millwall scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

West Ham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Millwall remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Millwall VS West Ham
1.5 Goals Scored 2.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Millwall

(Home)
19 Sept
Millwall
2 : 2
West Ham
15 Sept
Middlesbrough
2 : 2
Millwall
12 Sept
Blackburn
3 : 1
Millwall
08 Sept
Millwall
0 : 1
Newcastle Utd
05 Sept
Millwall
4 : 0
Bolton
Page 1 of 7

West Ham

(Away)
19 Sept
Millwall
2 : 2
West Ham
15 Sept
West Ham
2 : 3
Fulham
11 Sept
West Ham
6 : 0
Wrexham
08 Sept
Bolton
2 : 3
West Ham
05 Sept
West Ham
3 : 0
Derby
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swansea 8 5 2 1 13:6 17
2 West Ham 8 4 3 1 22:11 15
3 Middlesbrough 8 4 3 1 16:12 15
4 Wolves 7 4 2 1 15:10 14
5 West Brom 8 4 2 2 10:8 14
6 QPR 8 3 4 1 10:7 13
7 Stoke City 8 4 1 3 13:12 13
8 Bristol City 8 4 1 3 11:12 13
9 Charlton 8 3 3 2 7:10 12
10 Birmingham 8 2 5 1 12:11 11
11 Millwall 8 3 2 3 15:15 11
12 Lincoln City 8 3 2 3 7:8 11
13 Southampton 8 4 2 2 19:10 10
14 Wrexham 8 2 4 2 9:12 10
15 Bolton 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
16 Blackburn 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
17 Norwich 8 3 0 5 16:17 9
18 Sheffield Utd 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
19 Portsmouth 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
20 Watford 8 2 2 4 7:10 8
21 Cardiff 8 1 4 3 10:12 7
22 Derby 8 1 2 5 7:14 5
23 Preston 8 1 1 6 8:15 4
24 Burnley 8 0 4 4 9:17 4
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)