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Millwall vs Wrexham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Championship The Den, London
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
De Norre C.
28' Event
Sturge Z.
Own Goal
36'
Whiteman B.

AI Match Summary

Wrexham in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wrexham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Millwall
15%
Draws
51%
Wrexham
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wrexham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Millwall have won more games recently than Wrexham.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Millwall Clean Sheet 16%
Wrexham Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Millwall Wrexham
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.34 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Championship
Millwall vs Wrexham
0:3
Feb 7, 2026 Championship
Wrexham vs Millwall
0:2
Aug 30, 2025 Championship
Millwall vs Wrexham
0:2
Apr 28, 2001 League One
Wrexham vs Millwall
1:1
Nov 11, 2000 League One
Millwall vs Wrexham
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Millwall Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Wrexham Compare

Top Goalscorer Moore K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ekomie J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Millwall 36 / 100
Wrexham 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Millwall Wrexham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wrexham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Millwall's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Wrexham has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Wrexham lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Millwall VS Wrexham
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Millwall

(Home)
03 Nov
Birmingham
3 : 0
Millwall
31 Oct
Millwall
4 : 1
Derby
24 Oct
Portsmouth
2 : 1
Millwall
17 Oct
Millwall
2 : 2
Lincoln City
13 Oct
Millwall
0 : 1
Swansea
Page 1 of 6

Wrexham

(Away)
04 Nov
Wrexham
2 : 0
Middlesbrough
30 Oct
Sheffield Utd
1 : 0
Wrexham
24 Oct
Blackburn
2 : 0
Wrexham
17 Oct
Wrexham
4 : 1
Preston
13 Oct
Wrexham
1 : 2
West Brom
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 14 8 4 2 30:19 28
2 Wolves 14 8 3 3 25:17 27
3 Birmingham 14 7 5 2 26:13 26
4 Stoke City 14 8 2 4 22:17 26
5 Swansea 14 8 2 4 21:16 26
6 West Brom 14 7 4 3 20:15 25
7 Southampton 14 8 4 2 29:14 24
8 West Ham 14 6 5 3 36:21 23
9 Sheffield Utd 14 6 4 4 20:17 22
10 Portsmouth 14 6 4 4 19:16 22
11 QPR 14 5 6 3 22:17 21
12 Norwich 14 6 0 8 27:24 18
13 Millwall 14 5 3 6 23:24 18
14 Blackburn 14 5 3 6 20:22 18
15 Bristol City 14 5 3 6 16:19 18
16 Wrexham 14 4 5 5 17:19 17
17 Bolton 14 5 2 7 19:26 17
18 Cardiff 14 3 6 5 22:23 15
19 Lincoln City 14 4 3 7 14:24 15
20 Watford 14 4 2 8 13:23 14
21 Charlton 14 3 5 6 11:22 14
22 Burnley 14 1 7 6 18:26 10
23 Derby 14 1 4 9 11:29 7
24 Preston 14 1 2 11 12:30 5
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)