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Milsami vs Floresti

Moldova Moldova

Moldovan Cup 2025/2026 Complexul Sportiv Raional, Orhei
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Igor Souza

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Milsami advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Milsami
35%
Draws
37%
Floresti
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Floresti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Floresti carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Floresti arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Milsami, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Milsami have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Milsami Clean Sheet 10%
Floresti Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Milsami Floresti
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 10 8
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.87 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2025 Moldovan Cup
Milsami vs Floresti
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 Super Liga
Floresti vs Milsami
0:5
Aug 25, 2024 Super Liga
Milsami vs Floresti
6:0
Dec 3, 2023 Super Liga
Floresti vs Milsami
1:0
Oct 1, 2023 Super Liga
Milsami vs Floresti
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Milsami Compare

Top Goalscorer Igor Souza
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Floresti Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Milsami 34 / 100
Floresti 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Milsami Floresti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Floresti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Floresti conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Milsami went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Milsami scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Milsami VS Floresti
0.38 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Milsami

(Home)
22 Aug
Milsami
1 : 0
Petrocub Hincesti
16 Aug
Zimbru Chisinau
4 : 2
Milsami
08 Aug
Politehnica UTM
1 : 1
Milsami
01 Aug
Milsami
2 : 2
Real Sireti
26 Jul
Sheriff Tiraspol
0 : 0
Milsami
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Floresti

(Away)
27 May
Real Sireti
1 : 0
Floresti
20 May
Sparta Selemet
1 : 4
Floresti
16 May
Floresti
5 : 4
FCM Ungheni
09 May
Floresti
1 : 1
Politehnica UTM
05 May
Stauceni
0 : 0
Floresti
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Petrocub Hincesti -
TBD -
Oguzsport 1
Olimp Comrat 2
Zaria Balti -
TBD -
Falesti 1
Victoria 2
Sheriff Tiraspol -
TBD -
FCM Ungheni 3
Steaua Nordului 2
Dacia Buiucani -
TBD -
Stauceni 7
National Ialoveni 3
Zimbru Chisinau -
TBD -
Univer Comrat 6
Constructorul Leova 1
Politehnica UTM -
TBD -
Real Sireti 7
CSFCJT Atletico 2
Milsami -
TBD -
Floresti 6
EFA Visoca 0
Sparta Selemet -
TBD -
Iskra Ribnita 4
FC Congaz 1
1/8-finals
Petrocub Hincesti 2
Olimp Comrat 0
CSF Balti 6
Victoria 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 7
FCM Ungheni 0
Dacia Buiucani 1
Stauceni 0
Zimbru Chisinau 10
Univer Comrat 0
Politehnica UTM 6
Real Sireti 1
Milsami 1
Floresti 0
Sparta Selemet 3
Iskra Ribnita 1
Quarter-finals
Petrocub Hincesti 2
CSF Balti 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 4
Dacia Buiucani 1
Zimbru Chisinau 10
Politehnica UTM 0
Milsami 5
Sparta Selemet 0
Semi-finals
Petrocub Hincesti 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
Zimbru Chisinau 3
Milsami 0
Final
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
Zimbru Chisinau 0