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Milsami vs Sheriff Tiraspol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga Complexul Sportiv Raional, Orhei
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Kone S.
14'
Odubia P.
59' Event
Fomba B.

AI Match Summary

The Super Liga game between Milsami and Sheriff Tiraspol finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sheriff Tiraspol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Milsami
20%
Draws
40%
Sheriff Tiraspol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sheriff Tiraspol come out ahead of Milsami on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Super Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Milsami Clean Sheet 16%
Sheriff Tiraspol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Milsami Sheriff Tiraspol
Matches Played 31 36
Wins 8 21
Draws 10 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.87 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.19 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Super Liga
Milsami vs Sheriff Tiraspol
0:1
Jul 26, 2026 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Milsami
0:0
May 17, 2026 Super Liga
Milsami vs Sheriff Tiraspol
0:0
Apr 11, 2026 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Milsami
3:1
Oct 26, 2025 Super Liga
Milsami vs Sheriff Tiraspol
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Milsami Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sheriff Tiraspol Compare

Top Goalscorer Fomba B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Milsami 31 / 100
Sheriff Tiraspol 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Milsami Sheriff Tiraspol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sheriff Tiraspol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Milsami has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Milsami scored in 48% of their last 31 outings.

Sheriff Tiraspol has conceded goals in 47% of their last 36 outings.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Milsami VS Sheriff Tiraspol
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Milsami

(Home)
20 Sept
Real Sireti
1 : 2
Milsami
13 Sept
Milsami
0 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
06 Sept
CSF Balti
1 : 3
Milsami
30 Aug
Dacia Buiucani
0 : 0
Milsami
22 Aug
Milsami
1 : 0
Petrocub Hincesti
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Sheriff Tiraspol

(Away)
20 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
7 : 0
CSF Balti
13 Sept
Milsami
0 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
05 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
2 : 2
Petrocub Hincesti
29 Aug
Zimbru Chisinau
2 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
23 Aug
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 0
Politehnica UTM
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheriff Tiraspol 13 8 4 1 32:10 28
2 Zimbru Chisinau 13 8 2 3 27:12 26
3 Petrocub Hincesti 13 7 3 3 24:13 24
4 Dacia Buiucani 13 6 2 5 17:16 20
5 Milsami 13 4 5 4 13:17 17
6 Politehnica UTM 13 4 3 6 18:19 15
7 Real Sireti 13 0 7 6 8:19 7
8 CSF Balti 13 1 2 10 9:42 5
Promotion - Super Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super Liga (Relegation Group)