Sport Picks

England

Women's National League South 2022/2023

Portsmouth W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Milton Keynes Dons W play Portsmouth W in the Women's National League South 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Milton Keynes Dons W averaged 0.97 goals scored and 4.38 conceded. Portsmouth W averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.89 conceded. In past meetings, Milton Keynes Dons W won 0, Portsmouth W won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 31, 2024 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.79 for Milton Keynes Dons W and 1.30 for Portsmouth W. This points to a Portsmouth W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Milton Keynes Dons W

20%

Draws

53%

Portsmouth W

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Portsmouth W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence

Milton Keynes Dons W picked up more points recently compared to Portsmouth W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.79 vs 1.30 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 87%

Over 2.5 Goals 69%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

Milton Keynes Dons W Clean Sheet 19%

Portsmouth W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 78%

Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Milton Keynes Dons W	Portsmouth W
Matches Played	34	38
Wins	6	12
Draws	4	4
Losses	24	22
Goals Scored	0.97	1.45
Goals Conceded	4.38	1.89

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2024 Women's National League South

Milton Keynes Dons W vs Portsmouth W

Possession: 40% - 41% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Nov 5, 2023 Women's National League South

Portsmouth W vs Milton Keynes Dons W

Possession: 50% - 51% Cards: 3 - 0

3:0

Apr 23, 2023 Women's National League South

Milton Keynes Dons W vs Portsmouth W

Possession: 57% - 43% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Aug 28, 2022 Women's National League South

Portsmouth W vs Milton Keynes Dons W

Possession: 51% - 48% Cards: 2 - 3

4:1

Apr 10, 2022 Women's National League South

Milton Keynes Dons W vs Portsmouth W

Possession: 43% - 44% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Milton Keynes Dons W 28 / 100

Portsmouth W 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Milton Keynes Dons W Portsmouth W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portsmouth W Win (2)

Secondary Pick Portsmouth W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +42%

5.26

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.7%

1.59

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Milton Keynes Dons W attacking → ← attacking Portsmouth W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Milton Keynes Dons W scored in 50% of their last 34 games.

Portsmouth W let in goals in 74% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Milton Keynes Dons W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Portsmouth W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 40

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Watford W	22	17	2	3	65:17	53
2	Ipswich W	22	17	2	3	48:11	53
3	Oxford Utd W	22	16	3	3	53:15	51
4	Portsmouth W	22	15	2	5	44:20	47
5	Milton Keynes Dons W	22	9	3	10	38:42	30
6	Billericay W	22	8	4	10	37:41	28
7	Chatham W	22	8	4	10	23:29	28
8	Cheltenham W	22	7	4	11	29:50	25
9	London Bees W	22	7	2	13	22:41	23
10	Plymouth W	22	6	1	15	23:45	19
11	Bridgwater United W	22	3	5	14	20:43	14
12	Haywards Heath W	22	1	4	17	13:61	7