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Minas Brasilia W vs Fortaleza W Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A2 Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Ayala Florentin C. M.
72'
Bia Batista
72'
Bia Batista

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Fortaleza W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Minas Brasilia W
20%
Draws
45%
Fortaleza W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fortaleza W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Minas Brasilia W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Fortaleza W a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Minas Brasilia W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fortaleza W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Minas Brasilia W Clean Sheet 27%
Fortaleza W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minas Brasilia W Fortaleza W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 22 20
Draws 5 7
Losses 4 3
Goals Scored 3.1 5.7
Goals Conceded 0.68 0.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2025 Brasileiro A2 Women
Fortaleza W vs Minas Brasilia W
0:0
Jun 22, 2025 Brasileiro A2 Women
Minas Brasilia W vs Fortaleza W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Minas Brasilia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayala Florentin C. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Fortaleza W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jhow
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodrigues A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minas Brasilia W 10 / 100
Fortaleza W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minas Brasilia W Fortaleza W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortaleza W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Minas Brasilia W scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Minas Brasilia W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Fortaleza W conceded in 37% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Minas Brasilia W VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Minas Brasilia W

(Home)
26 Sept
Minas Brasilia W
6 : 0
Ceilandia W
19 Sept
Legiao W
0 : 18
Minas Brasilia W
06 Sept
Itabirito W
4 : 1
Minas Brasilia W
30 Aug
Minas Brasilia W
1 : 1
Itabirito W
22 Aug
Minas Brasilia W
1 : 0
Acao W
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Fortaleza W

(Away)
25 Nov
Fortaleza W
1 : 0
Ceara W
21 Nov
Ceara W
0 : 0
Fortaleza W
16 Nov
Fortaleza W
9 : 0
Hiroos Cariri W
08 Nov
Hiroos Cariri W
0 : 21
Fortaleza W
03 Nov
CE Sao Goncalo do Amarante W
0 : 17
Fortaleza W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Mixto W 3
Botafogo RJ W 7
Minas Brasilia W 1
Fortaleza W 2
Acao W 1
Santos W 3
Atletico-MG W 2
Vitoria W 1
Semi-finals
Botafogo RJ W 4
Fortaleza W 3
Santos W 3
Atletico-MG W 2
Final
Botafogo RJ W 1
Santos W 2