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Minas Brasilia W vs Itabirito W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A2 Women
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Bruna Marques
55' Event
Rayla

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Minas Brasilia W
30%
Draws
31%
Itabirito W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Minas Brasilia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Itabirito W haven't matched Minas Brasilia W's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Minas Brasilia W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Minas Brasilia W Clean Sheet 68%
Itabirito W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minas Brasilia W Itabirito W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 22 19
Draws 4 5
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 3.24 1.96
Goals Conceded 0.69 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Itabirito W vs Minas Brasilia W
4:1
Aug 30, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Minas Brasilia W vs Itabirito W
1:1
May 3, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Minas Brasilia W vs Itabirito W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Minas Brasilia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rayla
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Itabirito W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruna Marques
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minas Brasilia W 41 / 100
Itabirito W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minas Brasilia W Itabirito W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Minas Brasilia W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Minas Brasilia W scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Minas Brasilia W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Itabirito W conceded in 46% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Minas Brasilia W VS Itabirito W
3.88 Goals Scored 2.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Minas Brasilia W

(Home)
19 Sept
Legiao W
0 : 18
Minas Brasilia W
06 Sept
Itabirito W
4 : 1
Minas Brasilia W
30 Aug
Minas Brasilia W
1 : 1
Itabirito W
22 Aug
Minas Brasilia W
1 : 0
Acao W
15 Aug
Acao W
0 : 1
Minas Brasilia W
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Itabirito W

(Away)
20 Sept
Vasco W
1 : 2
Itabirito W
13 Sept
Itabirito W
1 : 3
Vasco W
09 Sept
Atletico-MG W
0 : 0
Itabirito W
06 Sept
Itabirito W
4 : 1
Minas Brasilia W
30 Aug
Minas Brasilia W
1 : 1
Itabirito W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Vasco W 4
Taubate W 1
Atletico-PI W 5
3B da Amazonia W 1
Itabirito W 3
Sport Recife W 0
Minas Brasilia W 2
Acao W 0
Semi-finals
Vasco W 8
Atletico-PI W 1
Itabirito W 5
Minas Brasilia W 2
Final
Vasco W 4
Itabirito W 3