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Mindelense vs Academica do Mindelo

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Academica do Mindelo in this Campeonato Nacional 2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Academica do Mindelo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Mindelense
30%
Draws
31%
Academica do Mindelo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mindelense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Mindelense have won more games recently than Academica do Mindelo.
  • Win probability leans Mindelense's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Mindelense Clean Sheet 10%
Academica do Mindelo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mindelense Academica do Mindelo
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 14 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.48 2
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2022 Campeonato Nacional
Mindelense vs Academica do Mindelo
0:1
May 21, 2022 Campeonato Nacional
Academica do Mindelo vs Mindelense
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mindelense 40 / 100
Academica do Mindelo 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mindelense Academica do Mindelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mindelense's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Academica do Mindelo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 24 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Mindelense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mindelense VS Academica do Mindelo
1.88 Goals Scored 3
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.33
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Mindelense

(Home)
04 Jul
Palmeira
3 : 2
Mindelense
27 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Academica Porto Novo
20 Jun
Academica Porto Novo
2 : 2
Mindelense
14 Jun
SC Atletico
1 : 3
Mindelense
06 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Cutelinho
Page 1 of 6

Academica do Mindelo

(Away)
08 Jul
Academica do Mindelo
1 : 2
Palmeira
01 Jul
Vulcanico Clube
3 : 6
Academica do Mindelo
24 Jun
Academica do Mindelo
2 : 2
Vulcanico Clube
11 Jun
Academica do Mindelo
2 : 2
Morabeza
04 Jun
Figueirense
1 : 4
Academica do Mindelo
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rosariense 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
2 Sporting Praia 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
3 GD Varandinha 6 2 1 3 4:5 7
4 Ultramarina 6 1 0 5 3:11 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeira 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
2 Academica Boavista 6 2 2 2 2:5 8
3 Morabeza 6 1 3 2 5:4 6
4 Academica Porto Novo 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academica do Mindelo 6 3 2 1 12:8 11
2 Botafogo 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
3 Mindelense 6 2 1 3 3:6 7
4 Barreirense 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams