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Mindelense vs Academico do Sal

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional game between Mindelense and Academico do Sal finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mindelense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Mindelense
20%
Draws
23%
Academico do Sal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mindelense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Mindelense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Mindelense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Mindelense have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Mindelense Clean Sheet 20%
Academico do Sal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mindelense Academico do Sal
Matches Played 38 25
Wins 19 9
Draws 11 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.53 1.08
Goals Conceded 0.95 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.65 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Campeonato Nacional
Mindelense vs Academico do Sal
3:0
Jun 17, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
Academico do Sal vs Mindelense
0:2
May 27, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
Mindelense vs Academico do Sal
2:0
Jun 11, 2016 Campeonato Nacional
Academico do Sal vs Mindelense
0:2
May 31, 2015 Campeonato Nacional
Academico do Sal vs Mindelense
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mindelense 85 / 100
Academico do Sal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mindelense Academico do Sal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mindelense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mindelense scored in 76% of their last 38 outings.

Academico do Sal let in goals in 72% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Mindelense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mindelense VS Academico do Sal
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.17
88% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mindelense

(Home)
04 Jul
Palmeira
3 : 2
Mindelense
27 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Academica Porto Novo
20 Jun
Academica Porto Novo
2 : 2
Mindelense
14 Jun
SC Atletico
1 : 3
Mindelense
06 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Cutelinho
Page 1 of 8

Academico do Sal

(Away)
13 Jun
Cutelinho
1 : 1
Academico do Sal
06 Jun
Academico do Sal
1 : 2
Academica Porto Novo
30 May
Mindelense
3 : 0
Academico do Sal
23 May
Academico do Sal
1 : 0
Scorpion Vermelho
09 May
Boavista da Praia
1 : 0
Academico do Sal
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeira 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
2 Mindelense 6 5 0 1 13:4 15
3 Academica Porto Novo 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
4 SC Africa Show 6 3 3 0 11:5 12
5 Boavista da Praia 6 4 0 2 9:4 12
6 Cutelinho 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
7 Academico do Sal 6 2 1 3 6:7 7
8 Onze Unidos 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
9 Santo Crucifixo 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
10 CD Benfica 6 1 0 5 3:18 3
11 SC Atletico 6 0 2 4 4:10 2
12 Scorpion Vermelho 6 0 1 5 4:11 1
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional (Play Offs)