Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Nacional 2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mindelense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Mindelense have won more games recently than Paulense.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on Mindelense taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Mindelense Clean Sheet 18%
Paulense Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mindelense | Paulense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 47 | 30 |
| Wins | 26 | 9 |
| Draws | 13 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.65 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 4, 2025 Campeonato Nacional
Paulense vs Mindelense
0:0
Jun 3, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
Mindelense vs Paulense
0:0
May 13, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
Paulense vs Mindelense
0:1
Jun 27, 2015 Campeonato Nacional
Mindelense vs Paulense
2:0
Jun 20, 2015 Campeonato Nacional
Paulense vs Mindelense
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mindelense 40 / 100
Paulense 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mindelense Paulense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mindelense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mindelense scored in 79% of their last 47 games.
Paulense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
Mindelense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
These sides typically produce 0.80 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Mindelense VS Paulense
2 Goals Scored 1.57
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.29
88% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 43%
Recent Form & Match History
Mindelense
(Home) 04 Jul
Palmeira
3 : 2 Mindelense
27 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1 Academica Porto Novo
20 Jun
Academica Porto Novo
2 : 2 Mindelense
14 Jun
SC Atletico
1 : 3 Mindelense
06 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1 Cutelinho
Page 1 of 10
27 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1 Academica Porto Novo
06 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1 Cutelinho
30 May
Mindelense
3 : 0 Academico do Sal
09 May
Mindelense
2 : 0 Santo Crucifixo
24 May
Mindelense
5 : 2 Academica Praia
Page 1 of 5
Paulense
(Away) 14 Jun
Boavista da Praia
2 : 1 Paulense
07 Jun
Paulense
2 : 2 Boavista da Praia
24 May
Botafogo
0 : 1 Paulense
18 May
Paulense
2 : 2 Sport Sal-Rei
10 May
Scorpion Vermelho
1 : 5 Paulense
Page 1 of 6
14 Jun
Boavista da Praia
2 : 1 Paulense
24 May
Botafogo
0 : 1 Paulense
10 May
Scorpion Vermelho
1 : 5 Paulense
18 Apr
Boavista da Praia
0 : 1 Paulense
17 Jun
Academica Porto Novo
3 : 0 Paulense
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ultramarina | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Onze Unidos | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 3 | AJAC da Calheta | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | 5 |
| 4 | Vulcanico | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | 4 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mindelense | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Academica Porto Novo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 11 |
| 3 | Academico do Sal | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | 5 |
| 4 | Paulense | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:10 | 3 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Praia | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8:1 | 14 |
| 2 | Academica do Mindelo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 10 |
| 3 | Sporting da Brava | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 10 |
| 4 | Sport Sal-Rei | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1:11 | 0 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
