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Mindelense vs Sport Sal-Rei

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mindelense play Sport Sal-Rei in the Campeonato Nacional 2011. Mindelense are favorites here. Recently, Mindelense averaged 1.61 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Sport Sal-Rei averaged 0.74 goals scored and 1.74 conceded. In past meetings, Mindelense won 3, Sport Sal-Rei won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 12, 2018 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Mindelense and 1.00 for Sport Sal-Rei. This points to a Mindelense double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Mindelense
25%
Draws
15%
Sport Sal-Rei
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Mindelense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Mindelense picked up more points recently compared to Sport Sal-Rei.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Mindelense Clean Sheet 23%
Sport Sal-Rei Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mindelense Sport Sal-Rei
Matches Played 33 27
Wins 17 2
Draws 10 5
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 1.61 0.74
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2018 Campeonato Nacional
Sport Sal-Rei vs Mindelense
2:2
Apr 14, 2018 Campeonato Nacional
Mindelense vs Sport Sal-Rei
1:0
Jun 4, 2016 Campeonato Nacional
Mindelense vs Sport Sal-Rei
5:2
May 28, 2011 Campeonato Nacional
Mindelense vs Sport Sal-Rei
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mindelense 59 / 100
Sport Sal-Rei 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mindelense Sport Sal-Rei

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mindelense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Mindelense & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mindelense attacking → ← attacking Sport Sal-Rei

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mindelense scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Sport Sal-Rei let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Mindelense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sport Sal-Rei lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

61 Points in last 5 11
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.40

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mindelense541013:113
2Sporting Praia54017:212
3CD Benfica52215:48
4Vulcanico41123:94
5Ultramarina51046:113
6Sport Sal-Rei40041:80
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Academica Porto Novo422011:48
2Academico do Sal42208:58
3Boavista42119:47
4Onze Unidos41034:93
5Rosariense40134:141