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Mindelense vs Ultramarina

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2013 game between Mindelense and Ultramarina finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mindelense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Mindelense
30%
Draws
12%
Ultramarina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mindelense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mindelense come out ahead of Ultramarina on wins alone.
  • Model gives Mindelense a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Mindelense Clean Sheet 20%
Ultramarina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mindelense Ultramarina
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 13 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.32 1.07
Goals Conceded 1 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 Campeonato Nacional
Mindelense vs Ultramarina
2:1
Jul 1, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
Mindelense vs Ultramarina
0:2
Jun 27, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
Ultramarina vs Mindelense
0:0
May 9, 2015 Campeonato Nacional
Mindelense vs Ultramarina
3:0
Jun 1, 2013 Campeonato Nacional
Mindelense vs Ultramarina
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mindelense 85 / 100
Ultramarina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mindelense Ultramarina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mindelense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ultramarina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Mindelense's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 41 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Mindelense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mindelense VS Ultramarina
2.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mindelense

(Home)
04 Jul
Palmeira
3 : 2
Mindelense
27 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Academica Porto Novo
20 Jun
Academica Porto Novo
2 : 2
Mindelense
14 Jun
SC Atletico
1 : 3
Mindelense
06 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Cutelinho
Page 1 of 9

Ultramarina

(Away)
24 May
Ultramarina
0 : 0
Sanjoanenses
18 May
Boavista da Praia
3 : 0
Ultramarina
11 May
Ultramarina
1 : 1
Academica Praia
02 May
Palmeira
3 : 0
Ultramarina
26 Apr
Mindelense
2 : 1
Ultramarina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportivo Praia 5 4 1 0 12:2 13
2 Mindelense 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
3 Academico do Sal 5 2 3 0 3:1 9
4 Ultramarina 5 1 1 3 5:12 4
5 Onze Estrelas 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
6 Juventude da Brava 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2013 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academica do Fogo 5 3 2 0 4:0 11
2 Academica Porto Novo 5 3 1 1 5:1 10
3 Sporting Praia 5 2 3 0 6:3 9
4 Solpontense FC 5 1 3 1 6:6 6
5 Academico 83 5 0 2 3 5:11 2
6 Scorpion Vermelho 5 0 1 4 1:6 1
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2013 (Play Offs)