Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A

Mineros de Fresnillo

3 - 0

Colima FC

Our Tip

Match Events

Castro Garcia W. D.

35'

Cordero M.

82'

Macias A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A game between Mineros de Fresnillo and Colima FC finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mineros de Fresnillo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Mineros de Fresnillo

Draws

Colima FC

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mineros de Fresnillo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Mineros de Fresnillo come out ahead of Colima FC on wins alone.
Win probability leans Mineros de Fresnillo's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Mineros de Fresnillo Clean Sheet 19%

Colima FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mineros de Fresnillo	Colima FC
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	4
Draws	6	5
Losses	12	21
Goals Scored	1.38	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A

Colima FC vs Mineros de Fresnillo

0:0

Nov 8, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Mineros de Fresnillo vs Colima FC

3:0

Mar 9, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A

Mineros de Fresnillo vs Colima FC

3:2

Oct 7, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A

Colima FC vs Mineros de Fresnillo

1:1

Feb 19, 2022 Liga Premier Serie A

Mineros de Fresnillo vs Colima FC

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mineros de Fresnillo Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro Garcia W. D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Cordero M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Colima FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mineros de Fresnillo 85 / 100

Colima FC 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mineros de Fresnillo Colima FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mineros de Fresnillo's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Colima FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Mineros de Fresnillo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mineros de Fresnillo VS Colima FC

1.38 Goals Scored 1.25

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mineros de Fresnillo

(Home)

19 Apr

Cimarrones de Sonora

1 : 1

Mineros de Fresnillo

15 Apr

Mineros de Fresnillo

1 : 1

Cimarrones de Sonora

11 Apr

Alacranes de Durango

2 : 1

Mineros de Fresnillo

28 Mar

Mineros de Fresnillo

6 : 2

Reboceros de La Piedad

21 Mar

Colima FC

0 : 0

Mineros de Fresnillo

Page 1 of 6

Colima FC

(Away)

11 Apr

Colima FC

1 : 4

Tecos

05 Apr

Zapotlanejo

1 : 3

Colima FC

29 Mar

Guerreros de Autlan

2 : 0

Colima FC

21 Mar

Colima FC

0 : 0

Mineros de Fresnillo

14 Mar

Cimarrones de Sonora

2 : 0

Colima FC

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	26	21	2	3	71:16	74
2	Tigres de Alica	26	17	3	6	46:25	56
3	Cimarrones de Sonora	26	15	7	4	46:19	54
4	Leones Negros 2	26	16	2	8	42:26	53
5	Tecos	26	14	4	8	49:34	49
6	Tritones Vallarta	26	15	1	10	32:27	46
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40:41	39
8	Los Cabos United	26	11	3	12	37:40	37
9	Guerreros de Autlan	26	8	5	13	38:42	32
10	UA Zacatecas	26	8	4	14	32:49	29
11	Ensenada FC	26	8	2	16	30:55	28
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	26	7	1	18	39:66	23
13	Zapotlanejo	26	6	1	19	39:73	21
14	Colima FC	26	4	3	19	24:52	17

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League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47:19	66
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43:21	51
3	Zacatepec	26	12	8	6	29:15	45
4	Halcones de Zapopan	26	11	6	9	44:27	44
5	Calor De San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37:26	44
6	Gavilanes de Matamoros	26	12	5	9	31:22	44
7	Lobos ULMX	26	11	6	9	33:28	40
8	Correcaminos 2	26	9	7	10	27:25	36
9	Chilpancingo	26	9	8	9	33:41	35
10	Cordobes FC	26	8	6	12	29:30	30
11	Zitacuaro	26	6	10	10	22:31	28
12	CS Canamy	26	5	8	13	33:53	26
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20:50	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	26	4	4	18	22:62	16

Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	24	21	3	0	55:9	71
2	Deportiva Venados	24	15	4	5	61:25	52
3	Tapachula	24	13	0	11	51:35	44
4	Celaya	24	12	4	8	42:32	43
5	Inter Playa Del Carmen	24	13	4	7	35:28	42
6	Montaneses	24	12	2	10	35:28	38
7	Pioneros	24	10	3	11	35:35	35
8	Jaguares De Chiapas	24	9	4	11	33:32	34
9	Heroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33:46	34
10	Chapulineros	24	5	8	11	21:33	23
11	Canoneros FC	24	7	1	16	25:49	22
12	Neza FC	24	5	2	17	25:73	19
13	Dragones Toluca	24	4	3	17	21:47	17

Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)