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Mineros de Fresnillo vs Los Cabos United

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Montes J.

AI Match Summary

Mineros de Fresnillo in this Liga Premier Serie A matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mineros de Fresnillo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mineros de Fresnillo
6%
Draws
4%
Los Cabos United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mineros de Fresnillo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Los Cabos United lately — more wins on the board than Mineros de Fresnillo.
  • Model gives Mineros de Fresnillo a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Mineros de Fresnillo Clean Sheet 18%
Los Cabos United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mineros de Fresnillo Los Cabos United
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 2.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Los Cabos United vs Mineros de Fresnillo
3:2
Oct 18, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Mineros de Fresnillo vs Los Cabos United
1:0
Mar 2, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Los Cabos United vs Mineros de Fresnillo
1:0
Oct 19, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Mineros de Fresnillo vs Los Cabos United
4:0
Apr 13, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Mineros de Fresnillo vs Los Cabos United
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mineros de Fresnillo Compare

Top Goalscorer Montes J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Los Cabos United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mineros de Fresnillo 85 / 100
Los Cabos United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mineros de Fresnillo Los Cabos United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Cabos United let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Mineros de Fresnillo's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Mineros de Fresnillo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mineros de Fresnillo VS Los Cabos United
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Alacranes de Durango26212371:1674
2Tigres de Alica26173646:2556
3Cimarrones de Sonora26157446:1954
4Leones Negros 226162842:2653
5Tecos26144849:3449
6Tritones Vallarta261511032:2746
7Mineros de Fresnillo261141140:4139
8Los Cabos United261131237:4037
9Guerreros de Autlan26851338:4232
10UA Zacatecas26841432:4929
11Ensenada FC26821630:5528
12Reboceros de La Piedad26711839:6623
13Zapotlanejo26611939:7321
14Colima FC26431924:5217
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Apodaca26212347:1966
2FC Santiago26147543:2151
3Zacatepec26128629:1545
4Halcones de Zapopan26116944:2744
5Calor De San Pedro26127737:2644
6Gavilanes de Matamoros26125931:2244
7Lobos ULMX26116933:2840
8Correcaminos 226971027:2536
9Chilpancingo2698933:4135
10Cordobes FC26861229:3030
11Zitacuaro266101022:3128
12CS Canamy26581333:5326
13Ciervos26441820:5018
14Atletico Hidalgo26441822:6216
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Racing de Veracruz24213055:971
2Deportiva Venados24154561:2552
3Tapachula241301151:3544
4Celaya24124842:3243
5Inter Playa Del Carmen24134735:2842
6Montaneses241221035:2838
7Pioneros241031135:3535
8Jaguares De Chiapas24941133:3234
9Heroes de Zaci241021233:4634
10Chapulineros24581121:3323
11Canoneros FC24711625:4922
12Neza FC24521725:7319
13Dragones Toluca24431721:4717