Sport Picks
Mineros de Fresnillo vs Reboceros de La Piedad
Mexico
Liga Premier Serie A 
Match Events
1'
1'
Zarazua L.
21'
21'
Zarazua L.
39'
39'
Lumbreras J.
AI Match Summary
Mineros de Fresnillo in this Liga Premier Serie A matchup, with the score ending 6-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mineros de Fresnillo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mineros de Fresnillo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Mineros de Fresnillo have won more games recently than Reboceros de La Piedad.
- Mineros de Fresnillo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Liga Premier Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Mineros de Fresnillo here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Mineros de Fresnillo Clean Sheet 10%
Reboceros de La Piedad Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mineros de Fresnillo | Reboceros de La Piedad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 1 |
| Losses | 12 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 3.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 3.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Mineros de Fresnillo vs Reboceros de La Piedad
6:2
Nov 18, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Reboceros de La Piedad vs Mineros de Fresnillo
2:3
Mar 8, 2021 Liga Premier Serie A
Reboceros de La Piedad vs Mineros de Fresnillo
1:0
Dec 16, 2020 Liga Premier Serie A
Mineros de Fresnillo vs Reboceros de La Piedad
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mineros de Fresnillo Compare
Top Goalscorer Zarazua L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Cordero M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Reboceros de La Piedad Compare
Top Goalscorer Lumbreras J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Miranda J. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mineros de Fresnillo 83 / 100
Reboceros de La Piedad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mineros de Fresnillo Reboceros de La Piedad
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mineros de Fresnillo's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Reboceros de La Piedad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Mineros de Fresnillo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Mineros de Fresnillo VS Reboceros de La Piedad
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Mineros de Fresnillo
(Home) 19 Apr
Cimarrones de Sonora
1 : 1 Mineros de Fresnillo
15 Apr
Mineros de Fresnillo
1 : 1 Cimarrones de Sonora
11 Apr
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 1 Mineros de Fresnillo
28 Mar
Mineros de Fresnillo
6 : 2 Reboceros de La Piedad
21 Mar
Colima FC
0 : 0 Mineros de Fresnillo
Page 1 of 6
15 Apr
Mineros de Fresnillo
1 : 1 Cimarrones de Sonora
28 Mar
Mineros de Fresnillo
6 : 2 Reboceros de La Piedad
14 Mar
Mineros de Fresnillo
3 : 1 Leones Negros 2
28 Feb
Mineros de Fresnillo
2 : 1 Tigres de Alica
14 Feb
Mineros de Fresnillo
3 : 2 Tecos
Page 1 of 3
Reboceros de La Piedad
(Away) 20 Jun
Reboceros de La Piedad
0 : 2 Queretaro
12 Apr
Reboceros de La Piedad
3 : 0 Guerreros de Autlan
04 Apr
Alacranes de Durango
3 : 1 Reboceros de La Piedad
28 Mar
Mineros de Fresnillo
6 : 2 Reboceros de La Piedad
22 Mar
Reboceros de La Piedad
2 : 3 Cimarrones de Sonora
Page 1 of 6
04 Apr
Alacranes de Durango
3 : 1 Reboceros de La Piedad
28 Mar
Mineros de Fresnillo
6 : 2 Reboceros de La Piedad
17 Mar
Ensenada FC
6 : 1 Reboceros de La Piedad
07 Feb
Leones Negros 2
3 : 1 Reboceros de La Piedad
25 Jan
Tigres de Alica
2 : 1 Reboceros de La Piedad
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alacranes de Durango | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 71:16 | 74 |
| 2 | Tigres de Alica | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 46:25 | 56 |
| 3 | Cimarrones de Sonora | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 46:19 | 54 |
| 4 | Leones Negros 2 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 42:26 | 53 |
| 5 | Tecos | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 49:34 | 49 |
| 6 | Tritones Vallarta | 26 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 32:27 | 46 |
| 7 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 40:41 | 39 |
| 8 | Los Cabos United | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 37:40 | 37 |
| 9 | Guerreros de Autlan | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 38:42 | 32 |
| 10 | UA Zacatecas | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 32:49 | 29 |
| 11 | Ensenada FC | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 30:55 | 28 |
| 12 | Reboceros de La Piedad | 26 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 39:66 | 23 |
| 13 | Zapotlanejo | 26 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 39:73 | 21 |
| 14 | Colima FC | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 24:52 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apodaca | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 47:19 | 66 |
| 2 | FC Santiago | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:21 | 51 |
| 3 | Zacatepec | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 29:15 | 45 |
| 4 | Halcones de Zapopan | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 44:27 | 44 |
| 5 | Calor De San Pedro | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 37:26 | 44 |
| 6 | Gavilanes de Matamoros | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 31:22 | 44 |
| 7 | Lobos ULMX | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:28 | 40 |
| 8 | Correcaminos 2 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 27:25 | 36 |
| 9 | Chilpancingo | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 33:41 | 35 |
| 10 | Cordobes FC | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | 30 |
| 11 | Zitacuaro | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 22:31 | 28 |
| 12 | CS Canamy | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 33:53 | 26 |
| 13 | Ciervos | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20:50 | 18 |
| 14 | Atletico Hidalgo | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 22:62 | 16 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing de Veracruz | 24 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 55:9 | 71 |
| 2 | Deportiva Venados | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 61:25 | 52 |
| 3 | Tapachula | 24 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 51:35 | 44 |
| 4 | Celaya | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 42:32 | 43 |
| 5 | Inter Playa Del Carmen | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 35:28 | 42 |
| 6 | Montaneses | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 35:28 | 38 |
| 7 | Pioneros | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 35:35 | 35 |
| 8 | Jaguares De Chiapas | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 34 |
| 9 | Heroes de Zaci | 24 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 33:46 | 34 |
| 10 | Chapulineros | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 21:33 | 23 |
| 11 | Canoneros FC | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 25:49 | 22 |
| 12 | Neza FC | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 25:73 | 19 |
| 13 | Dragones Toluca | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 21:47 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)