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Mineros vs Monagas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Copa Venezuela
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Mendez J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Mineros
20%
Draws
38%
Monagas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mineros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Monagas have won more games recently than Mineros.
  • Model gives Mineros a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Monagas arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mineros, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Mineros Clean Sheet 19%
Monagas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mineros Monagas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.48 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Mineros vs Monagas
1:0
Aug 19, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Monagas vs Mineros
1:0
Jul 10, 2025 Copa Venezuela
Mineros vs Monagas
2:3
Jun 4, 2025 Copa Venezuela
Monagas vs Mineros
1:0
Sep 30, 2023 Liga FUTVE
Mineros vs Monagas
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mineros Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Monagas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mineros 42 / 100
Monagas 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mineros Monagas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mineros scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Monagas conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Mineros went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mineros VS Monagas
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mineros

(Home)
17 Oct
Mineros
3 : 0
Maritimo de Venezuela
14 Oct
Bolivar
1 : 0
Mineros
11 Oct
Aragua
3 : 0
Mineros
07 Oct
Mineros
1 : 0
Monagas
04 Oct
Mineros
3 : 2
Deportivo Miranda
Page 1 of 6

Monagas

(Away)
18 Oct
Academia Puerto Cabello
3 : 3
Monagas
14 Oct
Monagas
2 : 1
Dynamo Puerto FC
11 Oct
Monagas
2 : 1
Estudiantes Merida
07 Oct
Mineros
1 : 0
Monagas
19 Sept
Rayo Zuliano
1 : 1
Monagas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academia Anzoategui 4 3 1 0 9:5 10
2 Avila 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
3 Deportivo Miranda 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
4 Maritimo de Venezuela 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamora 6 4 1 1 17:5 13
2 Atletico Barinas 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
3 Atletico El Vigia 6 2 1 3 11:16 7
4 Real Frontera 6 0 1 5 2:16 1
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caracas 6 4 1 1 14:7 13
2 Aragua 6 3 1 2 14:8 10
3 Yaracuyanos 6 2 1 3 11:11 7
4 Barquisimeto 6 1 1 4 4:17 4
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Zuliano 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
2 Lara 6 2 1 3 9:9 7
3 Urena 6 1 3 2 6:11 6
4 Trujillanos 6 0 5 1 5:6 5
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas 6 5 0 1 15:4 15
2 Mineros 6 3 1 2 13:3 10
3 Bolivar 6 2 1 3 7:11 7
4 Dynamo Puerto FC 6 1 0 5 3:20 3
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams