Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Minerul Lupeni vs CSM Targu Jiu Prediction & H2H Stats

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 6
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Minerul Lupeni in this Liga 3 - Seria 6 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Minerul Lupeni.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Minerul Lupeni
20%
Draws
38%
CSM Targu Jiu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Minerul Lupeni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Minerul Lupeni lately — more wins on the board than CSM Targu Jiu.
  • Model gives Minerul Lupeni a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 6 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Minerul Lupeni have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Minerul Lupeni Clean Sheet 20%
CSM Targu Jiu Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minerul Lupeni CSM Targu Jiu
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 21 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.48 1.66
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 6
Minerul Lupeni vs CSM Targu Jiu
1:0
Mar 21, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 6
Minerul Lupeni vs CSM Targu Jiu
0:0
Oct 24, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 6
CSM Targu Jiu vs Minerul Lupeni
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minerul Lupeni 40 / 100
CSM Targu Jiu 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minerul Lupeni CSM Targu Jiu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Minerul Lupeni Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Minerul Lupeni's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: CSM Targu Jiu conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Minerul Lupeni stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 0.67 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Minerul Lupeni VS CSM Targu Jiu
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Minerul Lupeni

(Home)
03 Oct
Minerul Lupeni
2 : 0
Curtisoara
26 Sept
Farcasesti
2 : 1
Minerul Lupeni
22 Sept
Minerul Lupeni
1 : 0
CSM Targu Jiu
19 Sept
Jiul Petrosani
1 : 0
Minerul Lupeni
12 Sept
Minerul Lupeni
3 : 0
Unirea Bascov
Page 1 of 7

CSM Targu Jiu

(Away)
02 Oct
Petrolul Hartiesti
1 : 6
CSM Targu Jiu
25 Sept
CSM Targu Jiu
1 : 0
Academica Bals
22 Sept
Minerul Lupeni
1 : 0
CSM Targu Jiu
18 Sept
CSM Targu Jiu
1 : 1
CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin
12 Sept
Pausesti-Otasau
1 : 1
CSM Targu Jiu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin 7 5 1 1 15:5 16
2 Minerul Lupeni 7 5 0 2 9:3 15
3 CSM Targu Jiu 7 4 2 1 15:7 14
4 CS U Craiova 2 7 3 3 1 13:8 12
5 Jiul Petrosani 7 3 2 2 11:8 11
6 CSO Filiasi 7 3 2 2 13:13 11
7 Unirea Bascov 7 2 3 2 12:9 9
8 Pausesti-Otasau 7 1 5 1 7:7 8
9 Farcasesti 7 2 2 3 13:14 8
10 Academica Bals 7 2 0 5 10:12 6
11 Curtisoara 7 2 0 5 8:15 6
12 Petrolul Hartiesti 7 0 0 7 3:28 0
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 6 (Relegation Group)