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Minerul Ocna Dej vs Victoria Carei

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 10 2023/2024
Fri, May 3, 2024
0 - 3
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Minerul Ocna Dej host Victoria Carei in the Liga 3 - Seria 10 2023/2024. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Victoria Carei have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Minerul Ocna Dej have conceded 3 and scored 0. Head-to-head, Minerul Ocna Dej have won 1 to Victoria Carei's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on May 3, 2024, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.17 xG vs 2.63) point toward Victoria Carei. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Minerul Ocna Dej
11%
Draws
80%
Victoria Carei
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Victoria Carei

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Victoria Carei have won more games recently than Minerul Ocna Dej.
  • Victoria Carei are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 10 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Victoria Carei have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Minerul Ocna Dej Clean Sheet 10%
Victoria Carei Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minerul Ocna Dej Victoria Carei
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0 2.25
Goals Conceded 3 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Minerul Ocna Dej vs Victoria Carei
0:3
Mar 30, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Victoria Carei vs Minerul Ocna Dej
3:0
Oct 27, 2023 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Minerul Ocna Dej vs Victoria Carei
0:1
Aug 26, 2023 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Victoria Carei vs Minerul Ocna Dej
0:3
May 3, 2023 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Victoria Carei vs Minerul Ocna Dej
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minerul Ocna Dej 10 / 100
Victoria Carei 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minerul Ocna Dej Victoria Carei

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Victoria Carei conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Victoria Carei's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Minerul Ocna Dej found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Minerul Ocna Dej VS Victoria Carei
0 Goals Scored 2.25
3 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%