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Minerva Punjab vs FC Goa

India India

ISL Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium
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Match Events

27' Event
Effiong N.
Assist: Kipgen M.
39'
Chhetri A.
46'
Sub
Pandita I. In: Rabeeh A K A.
Out: Pandita I.

AI Match Summary

The ISL game between Minerva Punjab and FC Goa finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Minerva Punjab
20%
Draws
38%
FC Goa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Minerva Punjab

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Goa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Minerva Punjab a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Minerva Punjab Clean Sheet 20%
FC Goa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minerva Punjab FC Goa
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 13 19
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2026 ISL
Minerva Punjab vs FC Goa
1:1
Apr 26, 2025 Super Cup
FC Goa vs Minerva Punjab
2:1
Feb 27, 2025 ISL
Minerva Punjab vs FC Goa
0:1
Nov 6, 2024 ISL
FC Goa vs Minerva Punjab
2:1
Mar 11, 2024 ISL
Minerva Punjab vs FC Goa
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Minerva Punjab Compare

Top Goalscorer Effiong N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

FC Goa Compare

Top Goalscorer Drazic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minerva Punjab 42 / 100
FC Goa 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minerva Punjab FC Goa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Minerva Punjab's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

FC Goa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 35 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Minerva Punjab stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Minerva Punjab VS FC Goa
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1East Bengal1375130:1126
2Mohun Bagan1375123:926
3Mumbai City1374217:925
4Bengaluru FC1365218:1223
5Jamshedpur1364315:1022
6Minerva Punjab1364318:1222
7FC Goa1355315:1120
8Kerala Blasters1352615:1717
9North East United1344516:2116
10Inter Kashi1334611:1713
11Odisha FC1325614:2211
12SC Delhi1325613:1711
13Chennaiyin FC132389:219
14Mohammedan1303107:323