Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Minerva vs CA Pulpileno

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Ramos Acevedo G. J.
69' Event
Molina M.
88' Event
Silva J.

AI Match Summary

Minerva in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Minerva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Minerva
20%
Draws
38%
CA Pulpileno
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Minerva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CA Pulpileno lately — more wins on the board than Minerva.
  • Win probability leans CA Pulpileno's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Minerva Clean Sheet 23%
CA Pulpileno Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minerva CA Pulpileno
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.87 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Minerva vs CA Pulpileno
3:1
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CA Pulpileno vs Minerva
1:1
Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CA Pulpileno vs Minerva
1:0
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Minerva vs CA Pulpileno
0:0
Jan 24, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CA Pulpileno vs Minerva
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Minerva Compare

Top Goalscorer Molina M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silva J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

CA Pulpileno Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos Acevedo G. J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minerva 21 / 100
CA Pulpileno 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minerva CA Pulpileno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PUL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Minerva has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Minerva found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

CA Pulpileno has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Minerva VS CA Pulpileno
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Minerva

(Home)
10 May
Minerva
3 : 2
E.G. El Palmar
03 May
Deportivo Maritimo
4 : 0
Minerva
26 Apr
Minerva
2 : 0
Molinense
18 Apr
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Minerva
12 Apr
Minerva
1 : 0
Santomera
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CA Pulpileno

(Away)
10 May
CA Pulpileno
0 : 1
Mazarron FC
03 May
E.G. El Palmar
0 : 0
CA Pulpileno
26 Apr
CA Pulpileno
1 : 0
Deportivo Maritimo
19 Apr
Molinense
1 : 1
CA Pulpileno
12 Apr
CA Pulpileno
1 : 0
Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)