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Minerva vs E.G. El Palmar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
Minerva Logo

Minerva

3 - 2
FT
E.G. El Palmar Logo

E.G. El Palmar

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Espin J.
30' Event
Molina M.
53' Event
Guillen P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 game between Minerva and E.G. El Palmar finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Minerva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Minerva
30%
Draws
8%
E.G. El Palmar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Minerva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • E.G. El Palmar haven't matched Minerva's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Minerva's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Minerva Clean Sheet 20%
E.G. El Palmar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minerva E.G. El Palmar
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 0.83 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Minerva vs E.G. El Palmar
3:2
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
E.G. El Palmar vs Minerva
0:1
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
E.G. El Palmar vs Minerva
3:4
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Minerva vs E.G. El Palmar
0:1
Mar 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Minerva vs E.G. El Palmar
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Minerva Compare

Top Goalscorer Espinosa A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Molina M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

E.G. El Palmar Compare

Top Goalscorer Espin J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guillen P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minerva 85 / 100
E.G. El Palmar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minerva E.G. El Palmar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Minerva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

E.G. El Palmar has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Minerva has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

E.G. El Palmar's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Minerva VS E.G. El Palmar
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Minerva

(Home)
27 Sept
Minerva
1 : 1
Club Olimpico de Totana
20 Sept
San Javier
1 : 0
Minerva
13 Sept
Minerva
0 : 0
FC Cartagena SAD B
06 Sept
Deportivo Maritimo
0 : 1
Minerva
10 May
Minerva
3 : 2
E.G. El Palmar
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E.G. El Palmar

(Away)
10 May
Minerva
3 : 2
E.G. El Palmar
03 May
E.G. El Palmar
0 : 0
CA Pulpileno
25 Apr
Aguilas FC B
2 : 1
E.G. El Palmar
19 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
0 : 4
UCAM Murcia B
12 Apr
Mazarron FC
4 : 1
E.G. El Palmar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)