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AI Match Summary
Minerva in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Minerva.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Minerva lately — more wins on the board than Santomera.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Minerva | Santomera |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 2.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Minerva Compare
Santomera Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Santomera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Minerva remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Minerva scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Minerva
(Home)Santomera
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciudad Cieza | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 65:21 | 73 |
| 2 | Real Murcia B | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:44 | 59 |
| 3 | Molinense | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 46:34 | 59 |
| 4 | Club Olimpico de Totana | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 44:27 | 58 |
| 5 | Mazarron CF | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 50:33 | 56 |
| 6 | UCAM Murcia B | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 55:37 | 55 |
| 7 | Aguilas FC B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 47:42 | 52 |
| 8 | CA Pulpileno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 30:29 | 50 |
| 9 | Santa Cruz | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 35:37 | 48 |
| 10 | Minerva | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:39 | 44 |
| 11 | Bala Azul | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 39:36 | 40 |
| 12 | FC Cartagena SAD B | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:39 | 38 |
| 13 | Deportivo Maritimo | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38:46 | 36 |
| 14 | E.G. El Palmar | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 27:48 | 32 |
| 15 | Santomera | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 38:64 | 32 |
| 16 | Caravaca | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 33:44 | 31 |
| 17 | Muleno CF | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 33:58 | 31 |
| 18 | Yeclano B | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25:54 | 27 |
