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Minerva vs UD Los Garres

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Minerva and UD Los Garres finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Minerva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Minerva
15%
Draws
26%
UD Los Garres
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Minerva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Minerva come out ahead of UD Los Garres on wins alone.
  • Model gives Minerva a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Minerva Clean Sheet 20%
UD Los Garres Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minerva UD Los Garres
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 2
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 23
Goals Scored 0.91 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.18 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Minerva vs UD Los Garres
1:0
Feb 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UD Los Garres vs Minerva
2:1
Nov 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Minerva vs UD Los Garres
0:1
Apr 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UD Los Garres vs Minerva
0:0
Nov 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Minerva vs UD Los Garres
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minerva 42 / 100
UD Los Garres 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minerva UD Los Garres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Los Garres has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Minerva went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: UD Los Garres registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Minerva's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Minerva VS UD Los Garres
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Minerva

(Home)
10 May
Minerva
3 : 2
E.G. El Palmar
03 May
Deportivo Maritimo
4 : 0
Minerva
26 Apr
Minerva
2 : 0
Molinense
18 Apr
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Minerva
12 Apr
Minerva
1 : 0
Santomera
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UD Los Garres

(Away)
08 Aug
FC Cartagena SAD B
1 : 1
UD Los Garres
01 Aug
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0
UD Los Garres
29 Oct
UD Los Garres
0 : 4
Elche
04 Oct
UD Los Garres
4 : 0
Manises
27 Sept
Manises
2 : 0
UD Los Garres
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