Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mingachevir vs Cebrayil

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Abdullayev S.
(Penalty)
52' Event
Safarov Q.

AI Match Summary

Mingachevir in this I Liqa matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mingachevir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mingachevir
6%
Draws
4%
Cebrayil
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mingachevir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mingachevir lately — more wins on the board than Cebrayil.
  • Model gives Mingachevir a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Mingachevir Clean Sheet 19%
Cebrayil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mingachevir Cebrayil
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 2.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 I Liqa
Cebrayil vs Mingachevir
2:1
Dec 10, 2025 I Liqa
Mingachevir vs Cebrayil
2:0
Sep 17, 2025 I Liqa
Cebrayil vs Mingachevir
1:3
Apr 17, 2025 I Liqa
Cebrayil vs Mingachevir
2:0
Feb 13, 2025 I Liqa
Mingachevir vs Cebrayil
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mingachevir Compare

Top Goalscorer Safarov Q.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Cebrayil Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mingachevir 85 / 100
Cebrayil 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mingachevir Cebrayil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mingachevir scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Cebrayil conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Mingachevir has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mingachevir VS Cebrayil
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mingachevir

(Home)
28 May
Gabala
2 : 0
Mingachevir
22 May
Mingachevir
4 : 1
Sabail
15 May
Mingachevir
3 : 1
MOIK Baku
05 May
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0
Mingachevir
29 Apr
Mingachevir
7 : 1
Zaqatala PFK
Page 1 of 6

Cebrayil

(Away)
21 May
Cebrayil
2 : 3
Shimal
15 May
Safa Baku
1 : 0
Cebrayil
07 May
Cebrayil
2 : 3
Baku Sporting
30 Apr
Sabail
6 : 0
Cebrayil
22 Apr
Cebrayil
2 : 1
Mingachevir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Safa Baku27169252:2157
2Mingachevir27156655:2751
3Sabail27148546:2150
4Baku Sporting271310440:2349
5Sahdag Qusar27127836:2743
6MOIK Baku27961233:4033
7Zaqatala PFK27841527:4428
8Cebrayil27731740:5624
9Shimal27551723:6120
10Difai Agsu27461728:6018
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)