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Mingachevir vs Gancabasar

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Mingachevir Logo

Mingachevir

0 - 3
FT
Gancabasar Logo

Gancabasar

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gancabasar in this I Liqa matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gancabasar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Mingachevir
15%
Draws
59%
Gancabasar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gancabasar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Mingachevir have won more games recently than Gancabasar.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Mingachevir Clean Sheet 18%
Gancabasar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mingachevir Gancabasar
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.9 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.26 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 I Liqa
Mingachevir vs Gancabasar
0:3
Apr 22, 2026 I Liqa
Gancabasar vs Mingachevir
2:1
Dec 10, 2025 I Liqa
Mingachevir vs Gancabasar
2:0
Sep 17, 2025 I Liqa
Gancabasar vs Mingachevir
1:3
Apr 17, 2025 I Liqa
Gancabasar vs Mingachevir
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mingachevir 36 / 100
Gancabasar 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mingachevir Gancabasar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gancabasar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mingachevir scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Gancabasar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Mingachevir stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mingachevir VS Gancabasar
3.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mingachevir

(Home)
17 Sept
Mingachevir
0 : 3
Gancabasar
10 Sept
Sabail
2 : 1
Mingachevir
04 Sept
Mingachevir
2 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
28 May
Gabala
2 : 0
Mingachevir
22 May
Mingachevir
4 : 1
Sabail
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Gancabasar

(Away)
17 Sept
Mingachevir
0 : 3
Gancabasar
10 Sept
Gancabasar
2 : 1
FC Khankendi
04 Sept
Shimal
1 : 2
Gancabasar
21 May
Gancabasar
2 : 3
Shimal
15 May
Safa Baku
1 : 0
Gancabasar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sahdag Qusar 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Gancabasar 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
3 Sabail 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
4 Karvan 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
5 MOIK Baku 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
6 Zaqatala PFK 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
7 FC Khankendi 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
8 Mingachevir 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
9 Shimal 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
10 Baku Sporting 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)