Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Mingachevir play MOIK Baku in the I Liqa. Mingachevir are favorites here. Recently, Mingachevir averaged 2.38 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. MOIK Baku averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Mingachevir won 5, MOIK Baku won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 15, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Mingachevir and 1.19 for MOIK Baku. This points to a Mingachevir double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Mingachevir has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to MOIK Baku.
- Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Mingachevir.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in I Liqa provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mingachevir | MOIK Baku |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.38 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mingachevir Compare
MOIK Baku Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mingachevir scored in 81% of their last 31 games.
MOIK Baku let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Mingachevir went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
MOIK Baku lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Safa Baku | 27 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 52:21 | 57 |
| 2 | Mingachevir | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 55:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Sabail | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 46:21 | 50 |
| 4 | Baku Sporting | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 40:23 | 49 |
| 5 | Sahdag Qusar | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 36:27 | 43 |
| 6 | MOIK Baku | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 33:40 | 33 |
| 7 | Zaqatala PFK | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 27:44 | 28 |
| 8 | Cebrayil | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 40:56 | 24 |
| 9 | Shimal | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 23:61 | 20 |
| 10 | Difai Agsu | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 28:60 | 18 |