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Mingachevir vs Ravan

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2016/2017
Mingachevir Logo

Mingachevir

1 - 0
FT
Ravan Logo

Ravan

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mingachevir in this First Division 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mingachevir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Mingachevir
15%
Draws
0%
Ravan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mingachevir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mingachevir lately — more wins on the board than Ravan.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Mingachevir taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Mingachevir Clean Sheet 20%
Ravan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mingachevir Ravan
Matches Played 45 30
Wins 21 7
Draws 13 2
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1.78 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.24 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2017 I Liqa
Ravan vs Mingachevir
0:3
Nov 4, 2016 I Liqa
Mingachevir vs Ravan
1:0
Mar 27, 2015 I Liqa
Mingachevir vs Ravan
0:3
Nov 14, 2014 I Liqa
Ravan vs Mingachevir
3:1
Apr 30, 2011 I Liqa
Ravan vs Mingachevir
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mingachevir 85 / 100
Ravan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mingachevir Ravan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ravan let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Ravan has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Mingachevir scored in 78% of their last 45 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Mingachevir VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mingachevir

(Home)
28 May
Gabala
2 : 0
Mingachevir
22 May
Mingachevir
4 : 1
Sabail
15 May
Mingachevir
3 : 1
MOIK Baku
05 May
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0
Mingachevir
29 Apr
Mingachevir
7 : 1
Zaqatala PFK
Page 1 of 9

Ravan

(Away)
27 Apr
Ravan
0 : 3
Sahdag Qusar
21 Apr
Sharurspor
0 : 0
Ravan
13 Apr
Ravan
0 : 3
Agsu (Inactive)
09 Apr
Sabail
3 : 0
Ravan
26 Mar
Ravan
0 : 3
Mingachevir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Turan 26 18 7 1 62:11 61
2 Sabail 26 18 3 5 80:25 57
3 Agsu (Inactive) 26 16 5 5 63:21 53
4 Lokbatan 26 17 1 8 64:31 52
5 Zaqatala PFK 26 15 4 7 69:31 49
6 Shamkir 26 15 3 8 41:20 48
7 Imisli FK 26 13 5 8 53:33 44
8 MOIK Baku 26 10 6 10 47:31 36
9 Sahdag Qusar 26 8 6 12 36:45 30
10 Sharurspor 26 7 4 15 36:51 25
11 Mingachevir 26 5 5 16 25:86 20
12 Bakili Baku 26 3 2 21 30:99 11
13 Goyazan Qazax 26 2 4 20 20:99 10
14 Ravan 26 6 1 19 24:67 10
Promotion - Premier League 2017/2018 (Main)