Sport Picks
Mingachevir vs Sahdag Qusar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Azerbaijan
I Liqa 
AI Match Summary
Mingachevir host Sahdag Qusar in the I Liqa. This one's hard to separate. Mingachevir have averaged 1.93 scored and 1.36 conceded recently, against Sahdag Qusar's 1.66 scored and 0.83 conceded. Past meetings favor Sahdag Qusar slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 5, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.56) point toward Sahdag Qusar. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Sahdag Qusar have won more games recently than Mingachevir.
- 61% — that's where the model lands on Sahdag Qusar taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mingachevir | Sahdag Qusar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mingachevir's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Sahdag Qusar conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.
Mingachevir went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Mingachevir
(Home)Sahdag Qusar
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sahdag Qusar | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Gancabasar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Sabail | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Karvan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 5 | MOIK Baku | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 6 | Zaqatala PFK | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:11 | 4 |
| 7 | FC Khankendi | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 8 | Mingachevir | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 9 | Shimal | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 10 | Baku Sporting | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | 0 |
